TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Above 60K
- Kalshi
Above 60K - Kalshi
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Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 7, 2026
Latest in Entertainment
Closed: Sep 6, 10:00 AM EST
Kalshi
Intro
This market tracks whether Alex Warren's album WILDCHILD will achieve above 25000 album equivalent units during the first week of release from August 28 to September 03, 2026, on Kalshi, with resolution based on independent metrics reporting. The leading outcome currently holds a probability of 99.0%. Watch for the official tracking week results, which will be finalized by September 06, 2026.
Kalshi
The event evaluates multiple thresholds for album equivalent units achieved by "WILDCHILD" by Alex Warren during the tracking week from August 28, 2026, to September 3, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific sales milestone, ranging from above 25,000 units to above 100,000 units. All outcomes are determined by data reported by Luminate’s API as of 10:00 AM ET on the Sunday following the tracking week. Luminate serves as the neutral metrics provider and does not influence or endorse the prediction market outcomes. The U.S. is the sole territory considered for these measurements.
Frequently asked questions
Currently, this market reflects trader expectations that differ noticeably from many analyst forecasts. While some industry analysts predict strong initial demand, the prediction market prices in a more conservative outlook, with the top outcome implying moderate sales volume. This gap highlights the market’s unique aggregation of crowd-sourced sentiment versus expert opinion.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders determine prices through a continuous order book where bids and asks converge around perceived probabilities. The current top outcome reflects the aggregate wisdom of market participants, adjusted for liquidity and recent trades. Prices fluctuate based on new information, analyst updates, and trading volume patterns that shift expectations for the album's first-week performance.
This market resolves around Sep 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once official sales data is verified against credible public sources. The result will reflect the actual number of album equivalent units sold in the first seven days following release, closing the market based on verifiable industry reporting and chart data.
Media coverage, social media buzz, concert announcements, and early sales teasers could shift this market. Any surprise chart placements, artist collaborations, or promotional stunts might drive rapid price changes. Additionally, broader industry trends or competing releases during the same period can also influence trader sentiment and market movement as the resolution date approaches.
