TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 16, 12:54 PM EST
Kalshi
Wildcard Gaming and M80 compete in map 2 of their Rainbow Six Siege match during the North America League Stage 1 2026. The winner of this individual map will be determined by competitive play on July 16, 2026.
Resolution depends on which team wins map 2 of the scheduled match. If the map is postponed and not completed within 48 hours of the original start time, or if the match or map is cancelled before play begins, the market resolves to fair market price. If a match is forfeited before any play occurs, the market resolves to fair market price. If a map is forfeited before play begins, the market resolves to fair market price. However, if a map begins and is subsequently forfeited, resolution follows the official result published by the governing body or tournament organizer.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate the collective beliefs of traders who have direct financial exposure to accuracy. This market aggregates trader conviction in real time, potentially offering a less biased view than a sportsbook line that may be adjusted for liability or public betting patterns. Comparing the two can reveal where consensus differs most sharply.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through continuous order-book trading, where buyers and sellers submit bids and offers that determine the current odds. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price you see reflects the most recent matched trade and the depth of pending orders at nearby levels. As new information emerges or trader sentiment shifts, the price adjusts dynamically. This mechanism ensures that the market price incorporates available information and trader conviction in near real time.
This market resolves around Jul 16, 2026, once the Map 2 result is final and verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the official match result as reported by the esports league or tournament organizer. Until that point, prices will fluctuate based on team news, player performance, and community expectations. Resolution is binary—one team will be confirmed as the winner of that specific map.
Key catalysts include roster changes, player injuries or substitutions, recent team performance trends, and head-to-head historical matchups. Pre-match commentary from analysts and team statements can shift trader sentiment. In-game events—such as early map control, economy management, or tactical surprises—will drive price movement closer to the match start. Community discussion, betting patterns on other maps in the series, and any last-minute lineup announcements are also likely to influence how traders position themselves before the map begins.