TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 21, 11:06 PM EST
Polymarket
This group covers predictions on the NHL game between the Minnesota Wild and the Chicago Blackhawks, scheduled for September 21st. Markets include the winner of the game, and over/under bets on the total number of goals scored. Kalshi also offers markets on the margin of victory.
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for September 21 at 8:00PM ET: If the Wild win, the market will resolve to "Wild". If the Blackhawks win, the market will resolve to "Blackhawks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
The event consists of four markets, each tied to the Minnesota vs Chicago NHL game scheduled for September 21, 2026, and each resolving based on the goal differential of the final outcome. The first market resolves to Yes if Chicago wins by more than 2.5 goals. The second market resolves to Yes if Chicago wins by more than 1.5 goals. The third market resolves to Yes if Minnesota wins by more than 1.5 goals. The fourth market resolves to Yes if Minnesota wins by more than 2.5 goals. All markets share a common secondary rule: if the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, the market remains open and resolves based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or fails to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific market they have engaged with.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect a ‘wisdom of the crowd’ that can differ from traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while prediction markets allow traders to freely express their beliefs. This can lead to discrepancies, particularly when public sentiment strongly deviates from the sportsbook's initial assessment. The volume traded in this market, currently at $31,011, suggests a high level of interest and potentially informed opinions that may not be fully captured by conventional odds.
Several factors could influence this market before it resolves. Any news regarding key player injuries, changes in team strategy, or even unexpected weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Significant betting activity on either Polymarket or Kalshi could also drive price movements. Furthermore, updates on team performance in preceding games or changes in public perception could all impact the probabilities reflected in this market. The 24-hour volume of $30,393 suggests traders are actively responding to new information as it becomes available.