TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Above 175K
- Kalshi
Above 175K - Kalshi
1W
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Vol.
·
Resolved Aug 23, 2026
Closed: Aug 23, 10:00 AM EST
Kalshi
Intro
This market tracks whether KATSEYE's album WILD will generate more than 10,000 album equivalent units during its first tracking week in mid-August 2026. Album equivalent units combine album sales and streaming consumption into a single metric used to measure commercial performance. On Kalshi, the leading outcome carries a probability of 99.0%. Resolution will be determined by official album equivalent unit data for the August 14–20, 2026 tracking week. Watch for the official chart data release on August 23, 2026, which will settle this market.
Kalshi
Resolution is determined by KATSEYE's reported album equivalent units for 'WILD' during the August 14-20, 2026 tracking week in the United States. The event contains tiered thresholds ranging from above 10,000 to above 100,000 equivalent units. Resolution will occur on the Sunday immediately following the tracking week based on data provided by Luminate Data, LLC. Album equivalent units combine physical sales, digital sales, and streaming activity to measure total commercial consumption.
Frequently asked questions
Prediction market odds reflect real-money trader conviction and can differ meaningfully from traditional music industry analyst forecasts. While analysts may rely on historical chart performance, radio airplay, and streaming trends, prediction markets aggregate dispersed information from traders with direct financial stakes. For KATSEYE's WILD debut week, comparing market-implied probabilities to published industry estimates and chart predictions can reveal where consensus diverges and highlight potential surprises in first-week Album Equivalent Unit performance.
The market resolves on Aug 23, 2026, after the official Album Equivalent Unit data for the August 14–20, 2026 tracking week is published. Resolution hinges on whether KATSEYE's WILD album crosses the 100,000 AEU threshold during that specific week. Album Equivalent Units combine album sales, track sales, and streaming activity into a single metric used by major chart authorities. The outcome is determined by verified, publicly released chart data from the relevant tracking authority.
Key catalysts include KATSEYE's promotional activity, music video releases, and social media momentum leading up to the tracking week. Chart-tracking services often publish pre-release estimates and early sales figures that traders monitor closely. Radio play, playlist placements on major streaming platforms, and celebrity endorsements can drive streaming volume. Industry news, competing album releases, and unexpected chart developments also influence market pricing. Additionally, any official statements from KATSEYE's label regarding sales expectations or marketing spend could shift trader sentiment before the August 14–20 tracking week concludes.
