TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 3:27 PM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a professional soccer match between Wiesbaden and Duisburg in Germany's 3. Liga. Bettors can speculate on whether Wiesbaden will win, Duisburg will win, or the game will end in a tie within the standard 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The resolution depends solely on the result of that specific match as scheduled.
The markets resolve based on the full-time result of the Wiesbaden vs Duisburg professional German 3. Liga soccer match scheduled for September 20, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. A 'Yes' outcome applies to the specific market corresponding to the winning team or a tied result. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price following platform guidelines. The markets are independent of any official league affiliations, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance their risk and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to be accurate. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamics of how each venue operates. If there's a significant difference between the probabilities implied by this market and those offered by sportsbooks, it could indicate an opportunity for informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders can buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Wiesbaden vs Duisburg match. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders adjust these prices based on new information, their own analysis, and their expectations of how others will react. This dynamic process creates a constantly updating forecast of the match's result, driven by the collective intelligence of the crowd.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will reflect the official result of the Wiesbaden vs Duisburg match as determined by the governing sporting body. The platform will verify the result against publicly available data to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual event outcome. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect outcomes will not.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before Sep 20, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, changes in coaching staff, or even weather conditions could shift traders’ expectations. Unexpected announcements related to the match, such as venue changes or rule adjustments, could also have a significant impact. Additionally, large trading volume from informed participants could signal new information or a change in sentiment, causing prices to adjust rapidly. Monitoring these factors can help understand the dynamics of this market.