TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 26, 4:31 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Wiener SC and FK Austria Wien, scheduled for July 26, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Wiener SC" if Wiener SC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "FK Austria Wien" if FK Austria Wien are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming match between Wiener SC and FK Austria Wien, scheduled for July 26, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Wiener SC" if Wiener SC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "FK Austria Wien" if FK Austria Wien are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds often diverge from traditional sportsbook lines because they aggregate real-time trader sentiment rather than relying on fixed oddsmaking models. On Polymarket, prices adjust dynamically as new information emerges, team news breaks, or betting patterns shift. Sportsbooks typically adjust more slowly and build in larger margins. Comparing this market's implied probabilities to major sportsbook offerings can reveal where informed traders see value, though both reflect genuine uncertainty about which team will score first.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader buy and sell orders into real-time probability curves. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders purchase shares representing each outcome—Wiener SC to score first, FK Austria Wien to score first, or neither team scoring first—and the platform calculates odds based on the ratio of shares held in the liquidity pool. As more capital flows into one outcome, its price rises and others fall, ensuring prices stay responsive to new information and trader conviction.
This market resolves around Jul 26, 2026, once the match concludes and the first goal is verified from credible public reporting. The outcome is determined by which team, if any, scores the opening goal during regular play. If no goal is scored before the final whistle, the neither-team outcome wins. Resolution typically occurs within hours of the match ending, after official sources confirm the goal scorer and timing.
Key catalysts include team news such as injury announcements, lineup confirmations, or tactical changes that affect attacking or defensive strength. Weather conditions closer to match day may influence scoring likelihood. Recent form, head-to-head history, and any late betting action on Polymarket can shift odds significantly. Pre-match press conferences or social media sentiment from fans and analysts may also trigger repricing. As the kickoff approaches, final odds typically tighten as uncertainty resolves and the market prices in all available information.