TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 5, 11:05 AM EST
Kalshi
This group forecasts the halftime result of the Widzew Lodz vs. RKS Radomiak Radom Ekstraklasa soccer match scheduled for September 5, 2026. Markets ask whether Widzew Lodz, Radomiak Radom, or a draw will be the leading score at the end of the first half (45 minutes plus stoppage time).
In the upcoming Poland Ekstraklasa game between Widzew Lodz and RKS Radomiak Radom, scheduled for September 5, 2026 at 8:45 AM ET: This event contains halftime result markets for home, draw, and away outcomes within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The event covers three possible outcomes of the Widzew Lodz vs Radomiak Radom professional Ekstraklasa soccer match scheduled for September 5, 2026: a win for Widzew Lodz, a win for Radomiak Radom, or a tie. Each outcome has a corresponding market that resolves to Yes if that specific result occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. If the match ends in a tie after regulation time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price following the defined procedures. The rules explicitly state that Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the wisdom of the crowd and the incentive structure. Sportsbooks set odds to maximize profit, factoring in a margin, while prediction markets allow participants to directly express their beliefs. This market, for example, reflects the aggregated insights of informed traders. Sportsbooks may also react slower to new information or be influenced by biases, whereas prediction markets can adjust rapidly as new data emerges. The difference can sometimes be substantial, offering opportunities for arbitrage or informed betting.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to several factors. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and access to information. Trading volume also plays a role; higher volume typically leads to more efficient price discovery. Additionally, the specific mechanics of each platform – such as fees, liquidity provision, and market-making incentives – can influence price formation. Currently, Polymarket shows a strong preference for Widzew Lodz leading at halftime, while Kalshi indicates a greater possibility of a tie. These differences reflect the unique dynamics of each market.