TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 20, 11:59 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the Deadman: All Stars Season 3 finale, scheduled for June 20, 2026. If Deadman: All Stars Season 3 is canceled, postponed beyond June 30, 2026, or if the official winner is not determined by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed team whose name comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jagex and the Old School RuneScape website (https://oldschool.runescape.com) or the official Old School RuneScape Twitch channel (https://twitch.tv/oldschoolrs).
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the Deadman: All Stars Season 3 finale, scheduled for June 20, 2026. If Deadman: All Stars Season 3 is canceled, postponed beyond June 30, 2026, or if the official winner is not determined by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed team whose name comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jagex and the Old School RuneScape website (https://oldschool.runescape.com) or the official Old School RuneScape Twitch channel (https://twitch.tv/oldschoolrs).
Prediction market odds and traditional analyst forecasts often diverge because they operate on different methodologies. Analysts typically rely on expert judgment, historical performance data, and qualitative assessments, while prediction markets aggregate the collective beliefs of many traders with real financial incentives. This market reflects live consensus pricing from participants who profit or lose based on accuracy, creating a dynamic alternative to static expert predictions. Over time, prediction markets have demonstrated competitive or superior forecasting power compared to traditional analysis, particularly when new developments shift trader expectations rapidly.
On Polymarket, traders set odds through an automated market maker mechanism that adjusts prices based on buy and sell activity. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each contestant outcome is represented as a tradable contract, and the current price of each contract reflects the implied probability that contestant will win. As traders buy or sell contracts, the prices shift to balance supply and demand. This continuous pricing mechanism ensures that the market remains responsive to new information and trader sentiment throughout the event window.
This market resolves around Jun 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winning contestant will be determined by the official results of Deadman All Stars Season 3. Resolution occurs after the season concludes and the champion is publicly announced through official channels. Traders holding contracts for the correct winner receive their payout once the outcome is finalized and verified.
Several factors could shift odds significantly before resolution. Contestant injuries, withdrawals, or roster changes announced by producers would likely trigger immediate repricing. Leaked footage, behind-the-scenes updates, or social media momentum around specific competitors can sway trader sentiment. Pre-season interviews and official promotional materials highlighting particular contestants may also influence probabilities. Additionally, betting patterns and large trades from informed participants often signal shifting expectations. Real-time updates on training, health status, or competitive form shared by media outlets will continue to shape market pricing as the season approaches.