TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 19, 10:16 AM EST
Kalshi
Intro
This market tracks which model will be selected by Victoria's Secret to wear the brand's signature Fantasy Bra during the 2026 fashion show. On Kalshi, Barbie Ferreira holds the leading probability at 7.0%, with Alessandra Ambrosio also at 7.0%. The market resolves based on official documentation from Victoria's Secret confirming which model wears the designated Fantasy Bra during the Victoria's Secret Fashion Show 2026. Watch for Victoria's Secret's official announcement of the 2026 show lineup and model assignments, expected around the event date in early 2026.
Kalshi
Resolution requires documented evidence that a person wore a bra explicitly designated by Victoria's Secret as the "Fantasy Bra" during the 2026 Fashion Show. Valid documentation includes official event photography, live television coverage, professional photography from Source Agencies, or video footage from Source Agencies. The person must be clearly identifiable and the bra must be visibly worn on the body as intended—carrying, holding, or draping without proper wearing does not qualify. Similar but not identical items do not satisfy the criterion. If Victoria's Secret does not designate a Fantasy Bra for 2026, all outcomes resolve to No. If multiple Fantasy Bras are designated, each wearer resolves as a separate valid outcome.
Frequently asked questions
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders submit buy and sell orders for contracts representing each potential Fantasy Bra wearer. The price of a contract reflects the market's assessment of the probability of that individual being selected. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Price fluctuations occur as traders react to new information and adjust their beliefs. The market depth, displayed on the dashboard, shows the volume of buy and sell orders at different price levels, providing insight into the strength of market sentiment.
This market resolves around Jan 1, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the outcome will be determined by Victoria’s Secret’s official announcement of the model selected to wear the Fantasy Bra during the 2026 Victoria’s Secret Fashion Show. The model officially designated by Victoria’s Secret as wearing the Fantasy Bra will be considered the winning outcome for this market. Any disputes will be resolved based on publicly available information regarding the show and Victoria’s Secret’s official statements.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Announcements from Victoria’s Secret regarding the 2026 fashion show, including casting news or hints about the Fantasy Bra design, would likely cause price movements. Major modeling contract signings or public appearances by potential candidates could also shift the odds. Unexpected events impacting the fashion industry or specific models, such as injuries or controversies, could also play a role. Furthermore, general shifts in public opinion or media coverage surrounding potential wearers could influence trading activity in this market.
