TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
Sports
Who will Manchester City sign by September 1, 2026?
limitless

Who will Manchester City sign by September 1, 2026?

Volume:
$898

Pedro Porro

 - Limitless

Pedro Porro - Limitless

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 2, 2026

Closed: Sep 1, 7:59 PM EST

limitless

Limitless

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
limitless

Pedro Porro

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
99.7¢
N/A
$455
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

Tino Livramento

0%
51%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
96.7¢
N/A
$443
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

Elliot Anderson

N/A
N/A
2.4¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
limitless

Eli Junior Kroupi

N/A
N/A
99.6¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

Michael Kayode

N/A
N/A
99.6¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

Enzo Fernandez

N/A
N/A
99.5¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
limitless

Rodrygo

N/A
N/A
99.6¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 7

Description

This market will resolve to "YES" if it is officially confirmed that Manchester City signs the listed player on a permanent transfer on or before September 1, 2026, 23:59 UTC. Otherwise, each option will resolve to "NO." Only official announcements made between May 26, 2026, 12:00 UTC and September 1, 2026, 23:59 UTC will qualify. Announcements made after September 1, 2026, 23:59 UTC will not count. The primary resolution source will be official announcements from the listed player, the selling club, and/or the acquiring club. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Limitless

This market will resolve to "YES" if it is officially confirmed that Manchester City signs the listed player on a permanent transfer on or before September 1, 2026, 23:59 UTC. Otherwise, each option will resolve to "NO." Only official announcements made between May 26, 2026, 12:00 UTC and September 1, 2026, 23:59 UTC will qualify. Announcements made after September 1, 2026, 23:59 UTC will not count. The primary resolution source will be official announcements from the listed player, the selling club, and/or the acquiring club. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Limitless often diverge from traditional sportsbook odds because they reflect crowd-sourced sentiment rather than bookmaker models. Sportsbooks typically adjust lines to balance liability and profit margins, while prediction markets price outcomes based on trader conviction and real-money stakes. For Manchester City signings, prediction markets may react faster to insider reports or social media signals, whereas sportsbooks emphasize historical transfer patterns and official club statements. Comparing the two reveals whether the crowd is more bullish or bearish than professional oddsmakers on specific targets.

The market resolves on Sep 1, 2026. Resolution is determined by which player or players Manchester City officially signs and registers before that deadline. The outcome is verified against official club announcements, league registration records, and credible sports news sources. If multiple signings occur, the market may resolve to the primary or most significant signing, depending on market terms. Any player who completes a transfer and is registered to play for Manchester City by the deadline counts as a valid resolution outcome.

Key catalysts include official transfer bids or fee agreements announced by Manchester City or rival clubs, player medical exam results, managerial statements about transfer targets, and contract negotiations becoming public. Injury updates to existing City players may shift urgency around specific positions. Competing offers from other top clubs can dramatically alter odds for contested targets. Social media activity from journalists covering the transfer market, player agent statements, and UEFA or Premier League regulatory decisions also influence pricing. As September 1 approaches, each confirmed signing or failed negotiation will trigger sharp repricing across remaining outcomes.