TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 1, 7:59 PM EST
Limitless
This market will resolve to "YES" if it is officially confirmed that Manchester City signs the listed player on a permanent transfer on or before September 1, 2026, 23:59 UTC. Otherwise, each option will resolve to "NO." Only official announcements made between May 26, 2026, 12:00 UTC and September 1, 2026, 23:59 UTC will qualify. Announcements made after September 1, 2026, 23:59 UTC will not count. The primary resolution source will be official announcements from the listed player, the selling club, and/or the acquiring club. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "YES" if it is officially confirmed that Manchester City signs the listed player on a permanent transfer on or before September 1, 2026, 23:59 UTC. Otherwise, each option will resolve to "NO." Only official announcements made between May 26, 2026, 12:00 UTC and September 1, 2026, 23:59 UTC will qualify. Announcements made after September 1, 2026, 23:59 UTC will not count. The primary resolution source will be official announcements from the listed player, the selling club, and/or the acquiring club. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The market resolves on Sep 1, 2026. Resolution is determined by which player or players Manchester City officially signs and registers before that deadline. The outcome is verified against official club announcements, league registration records, and credible sports news sources. If multiple signings occur, the market may resolve to the primary or most significant signing, depending on market terms. Any player who completes a transfer and is registered to play for Manchester City by the deadline counts as a valid resolution outcome.
Key catalysts include official transfer bids or fee agreements announced by Manchester City or rival clubs, player medical exam results, managerial statements about transfer targets, and contract negotiations becoming public. Injury updates to existing City players may shift urgency around specific positions. Competing offers from other top clubs can dramatically alter odds for contested targets. Social media activity from journalists covering the transfer market, player agent statements, and UEFA or Premier League regulatory decisions also influence pricing. As September 1 approaches, each confirmed signing or failed negotiation will trigger sharp repricing across remaining outcomes.