TOTAL VOLUME:
$97.5b
24H VOL:
$264,423,826
24H TRANSACTIONS:
951,878,243
OPEN INTEREST:
$2,171,275,957
831,219
Markets across
15,133
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
973
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
45%
VS.
Kalshi:
55%
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This market tracks whether BLACKPINK will be announced as the headliner for the Pro Football Championship Halftime Show. On Kalshi, BLACKPINK is priced at 33.0%, with an unnamed alternative act at 31.0%. Resolution hinges on an official announcement from the league or event organizers before February 15, 2027. Watch for the formal halftime show headliner announcement, which typically occurs in the weeks leading up to the championship game and will determine the market outcome.
If Lady Gaga is announced to headline the Pro Football Championship Halftime Show before Feb 15, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. If Justin Bieber is announced to headline the Pro Football Championship Halftime Show before Feb 15, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. If Oasis is announced to headline the Pro Football Championship Halftime Show before Feb 15, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. If Sexyy Red is announced to headline the Pro Football Championship Halftime Show before Feb 15, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. If Adele is announced to headline the Pro Football Championship Halftime Show before Feb 15, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. If AC/DC is announced to headline the Pro Football Championship Halftime Show before Feb 15, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. If Lil Wayne is announced to headline the Pro Football Championship Halftime Show before Feb 15, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. If BTS is announced to headline the Pro Football Championship Halftime Show before Feb 15, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ed Sheeran is announced to headline the Pro Football Championship Halftime Show before Feb 15, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. If Imagine Dragons is announced to headline the Pro Football Championship Halftime Show before Feb 15, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. If Guns N' Roses is announced to headline the Pro Football Championship Halftime Show before Feb 15, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. If Eagles is announced to headline the Pro Football Championship Halftime Show before Feb 15, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ariana Grande is announced to headline the Pro Football Championship Halftime Show before Feb 15, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. If Katy Perry is announced to headline the Pro Football Championship Halftime Show before Feb 15, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. If Linkin Park is announced to headline the Pro Football Championship Halftime Show before Feb 15, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. If SZA is announced to headline the Pro Football Championship Halftime Show before Feb 15, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. If Travis Scott is announced to headline the Pro Football Championship Halftime Show before Feb 15, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. If Backstreet Boys is announced to headline the Pro Football Championship Halftime Show before Feb 15, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. If Elton John is announced to headline the Pro Football Championship Halftime Show before Feb 15, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. If Pink is announced to headline the Pro Football Championship Halftime Show before Feb 15, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. If Pearl Jam is announced to headline the Pro Football Championship Halftime Show before Feb 15, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. If Chris Brown is announced to headline the Pro Football Championship Halftime Show before Feb 15, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. If Christina Aguilera is announced to headline the Pro Football Championship Halftime Show before Feb 15, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. If Doja Cat is announced to headline the Pro Football Championship Halftime Show before Feb 15, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. If Megan Thee Stallion is announced to headline the Pro Football Championship Halftime Show before Feb 15, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ice Spice is announced to headline the Pro Football Championship Halftime Show before Feb 15, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. If Cynthia Erivo is announced to headline the Pro Football Championship Halftime Show before Feb 15, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. If Rihanna is announced to headline the Pro Football Championship Halftime Show before Feb 15, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. If Tyler, The Creator is announced to headline the Pro Football Championship Halftime Show before Feb 15, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. If Harry Styles is announced to headline the Pro Football Championship Halftime Show before Feb 15, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. If Tate McRae is announced to headline the Pro Football Championship Halftime Show before Feb 15, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. If Drake is announced to headline the Pro Football Championship Halftime Show before Feb 15, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. If Billie Eilish is announced to headline the Pro Football Championship Halftime Show before Feb 15, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. If Foo Fighters is announced to headline the Pro Football Championship Halftime Show before Feb 15, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. If Lil Baby is announced to headline the Pro Football Championship Halftime Show before Feb 15, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. If JAY-Z is announced to headline the Pro Football Championship Halftime Show before Feb 15, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. If Taylor Swift is announced to headline the Pro Football Championship Halftime Show before Feb 15, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. If Miley Cyrus is announced to headline the Pro Football Championship Halftime Show before Feb 15, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. If Chappell Roan is announced to headline the Pro Football Championship Halftime Show before Feb 15, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. If Post Malone is announced to headline the Pro Football Championship Halftime Show before Feb 15, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. If Dua Lipa is announced to headline the Pro Football Championship Halftime Show before Feb 15, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. If Metallica is announced to headline the Pro Football Championship Halftime Show before Feb 15, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. If Sabrina Carpenter is announced to headline the Pro Football Championship Halftime Show before Feb 15, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. If Morgan Wallen is announced to headline the Pro Football Championship Halftime Show before Feb 15, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. If Karol G is announced to headline the Pro Football Championship Halftime Show before Feb 15, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. If Green Day is announced to headline the Pro Football Championship Halftime Show before Feb 15, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. If Coldplay is announced to headline the Pro Football Championship Halftime Show before Feb 15, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. If Cardi B is announced to headline the Pro Football Championship Halftime Show before Feb 15, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. If Mariah Carey is announced to headline the Pro Football Championship Halftime Show before Feb 15, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. If BLACKPINK is announced to headline the Pro Football Championship Halftime Show before Feb 15, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kanye West / Ye is announced to headline the Pro Football Championship Halftime Show before Feb 15, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. If Outkast is announced to headline the Pro Football Championship Halftime Show before Feb 15, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. If T-Pain is announced to headline the Pro Football Championship Halftime Show before Feb 15, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
On Kalshi, the Pro Football Championship Halftime Show headliner market is priced as a set of binary contracts, each representing a specific artist or outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy or sell shares at prices between 0 and 100 cents, where the price directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. The current top outcome trades at 42.0% probability. Liquidity and volume concentrate around frontrunner candidates, while less-favored artists trade at lower prices. Prices update in real time as new trades execute.
The market resolves on Feb 15, 2027, shortly after the Pro Football Championship game concludes. Resolution is determined by the official announcement and performance of the halftime show headliner. Once the artist takes the stage and performs, the outcome becomes factual and the market settles accordingly. Traders holding shares in the correct outcome receive their payout, while incorrect positions expire worthless. The resolution is objective and based on publicly available information from the NFL and broadcast coverage.
Major catalysts include official NFL announcements naming the headliner, artist social media confirmations or denials, tour schedule conflicts, health or personal issues affecting performer availability, and entertainment industry news about negotiations. Media reports linking specific artists to the event can trigger sharp price movements. As Feb 15, 2027 approaches, confirmed news narrows uncertainty and consolidates prices around the actual performer. Unexpected artist withdrawals or last-minute replacements would cause dramatic repricing. Trader sentiment also shifts with broader entertainment trends and public enthusiasm for potential candidates.
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