TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 24, 12:22 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks who will be the first to publicly announce LeBron James' next professional basketball team before October 23, 2026. The announcement must be a formal declaration or projection made through official channels, not a leak or rumor, and counts even if later proven factually incorrect if made in good faith.
Resolution is determined by which listed outlet, entity, or individual first announces LeBron James' next Pro Basketball team between market issuance and October 23, 2026. An announcement must constitute a formal projection or declaration published through official channels; leaks, rumors, and unofficial statements do not qualify. Announcements later shown to be factually incorrect still resolve as Yes if made in good faith through ordinary editorial processes. Secondary reporting, aggregation, or repetition of another source's call does not satisfy the resolution criterion. Announcements by unlisted sources do not affect resolution. If no listed source announces before the deadline, all markets resolve No. If two or more listed sources announce simultaneously with indistinguishable timestamps, the contract resolves as a tie, with Yes payouts divided equally among tied sources (rounded down to the nearest cent) and No payouts calculated as the remainder.
Key signals include media interviews, social media posts from LeBron James or his agents, trade speculation from credible sports journalists, and any official statements from NBA teams. Each new development — even a single comment — can shift trader sentiment and dramatically change the odds in this market as the Oct 23, 2026 deadline approaches.