TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Conan Gray
- Kalshi
Conan Gray - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
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Vol.
·
Resolved Jun 12, 2026
Latest in Entertainment
Closed: Jun 12, 11:48 AM EST
Kalshi
Intro
This market tracks which artist, if any, will receive a featuring credit on the unreleased song "you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love." On Kalshi, Lorde is the leading outcome at 15.0%, followed by Harry Styles at 13.0%. The market resolves based on whether Noah Kahan receives a featuring credit on the track before January 1, 2027, according to official release information. Watch for any official announcement or leak of the song's final tracklist and artist credits before the January 1, 2027 resolution deadline.
Kalshi
If Taylor Swift is featured on you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. If Conan Gray is featured on you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. If Sabrina Carpenter is featured on you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. If Noah Kahan is featured on you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. If Gracie Abrams is featured on you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. If Chappell Roan is featured on you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. If Phoebe Bridgers is featured on you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. If Billie Eilish is featured on you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. If Lorde is featured on you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. If Harry Styles is featured on you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. If Post Malone is featured on you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. If Tate McRae is featured on you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. If Benson Boone is featured on you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. If Rosalía is featured on you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. If Bad Bunny is featured on you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. If Charli XCX is featured on you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Frequently asked questions
Prediction market odds on Kalshi reflect real-time consensus from traders betting capital on the outcome, whereas traditional analyst forecasts rely on expert opinion and historical patterns. The market's leading outcome currently reflects trader conviction based on available public information about the song and artist collaborations. Unlike static analyst predictions, market odds update continuously as new clues, announcements, or industry signals emerge. This dynamic pricing mechanism often captures emerging sentiment faster than traditional forecasting methods, making prediction markets a complementary data source for tracking shifting expectations around featured artist announcements.
The market is scheduled to resolve on Jan 1, 2027. Resolution will be determined by the official announcement or release of 'you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love' and confirmation of which artist, if any, is featured on the track. The outcome hinges on the song's actual release details as confirmed through official music platforms, artist social media, or credible music industry sources. Traders should monitor for any announcements from the song's primary artist regarding collaborations or featured artists leading up to the resolution date.
Several catalysts could shift odds on this market. Official announcements from the primary artist about the song's featured collaborators would have immediate impact. Teaser releases, music video announcements, or playlist placements hinting at collaboration details could move trader sentiment. Social media hints or interviews mentioning potential features would influence probability estimates. Industry reports or leaks about the track's production team might provide clues. Additionally, any statements from Tate McRae or other artists about upcoming collaborations could affect the odds for this specific outcome. Traders should monitor music news outlets and artist accounts closely for breaking information.
