TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 3, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks which notable artist will appear as a featured collaborator on ADÉLA's upcoming album titled 'PRIMA'. The outcome depends on the official release credits of the album, focusing solely on featured artist contributions.
The event resolves to 'Yes' for any market where the corresponding artist is officially listed as a featured collaborator on ADÉLA's album 'PRIMA'. Each market specifies a different potential featured artist, and the album’s official release credits will determine which, if any, of these markets is resolved as 'Yes'. No other factors, such as guest appearances or production credits, influence the outcome—only explicit featured roles count.
Compared to analyst forecasts, this market often reflects a more dynamic and crowd-sourced view of probabilities. While analysts may weigh factors like past performance and public statements, traders in this market incorporate a broader range of signals, including social media sentiment and booking rumors. Typically, the odds here can diverge significantly from traditional forecasts, especially as new information emerges in the weeks leading up to the decision.
This market resolves around Sep 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be based on the official release or authoritative announcement confirming who is featured on the ADÉLA 'PRIMA' track. Until that point, traders can continue to speculate and adjust their positions based on emerging clues.
Several signals could shift the odds in this market before resolution. High-impact events include official announcements from ADÉLA or the featured artist, social media posts, interview mentions, or early playback teasers. Additionally, booking agent activity, collaborative posts, and fan theories trending online can also influence trader sentiment and drive volume spikes. Any unexpected delay or counter-announcement could similarly cause rapid shifts.