TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 27, 9:50 AM EST
Kalshi
Charli xcx releases her album "Music, Fashion, Film" featuring at least one artist from a list of various musicians and performers spanning multiple genres before July 31, 2026.
If Lorde is featured on the album Music, Fashion, Film by Charli xcx before Jul 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Troye Sivan is featured on the album Music, Fashion, Film by Charli xcx before Jul 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Billie Eilish is featured on the album Music, Fashion, Film by Charli xcx before Jul 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Caroline Polachek is featured on the album Music, Fashion, Film by Charli xcx before Jul 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Shygirl is featured on the album Music, Fashion, Film by Charli xcx before Jul 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Bladee is featured on the album Music, Fashion, Film by Charli xcx before Jul 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Robyn is featured on the album Music, Fashion, Film by Charli xcx before Jul 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Addison Rae is featured on the album Music, Fashion, Film by Charli xcx before Jul 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kesha is featured on the album Music, Fashion, Film by Charli xcx before Jul 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If John Cale is featured on the album Music, Fashion, Film by Charli xcx before Jul 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Julian Casablancas is featured on the album Music, Fashion, Film by Charli xcx before Jul 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Turnstile is featured on the album Music, Fashion, Film by Charli xcx before Jul 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If PinkPantheress is featured on the album Music, Fashion, Film by Charli xcx before Jul 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Sky Ferreira is featured on the album Music, Fashion, Film by Charli xcx before Jul 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Halsey is featured on the album Music, Fashion, Film by Charli xcx before Jul 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Yungblud is featured on the album Music, Fashion, Film by Charli xcx before Jul 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Clairo is featured on the album Music, Fashion, Film by Charli xcx before Jul 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi reflect real-money trader conviction and often diverge from traditional analyst forecasts or entertainment media speculation. While analysts may rely on rumor, leaked tracklists, or artist statements, prediction markets aggregate the collective judgment of participants with financial stakes in the outcome. The market price typically incorporates faster-moving information and adjusts dynamically as new details about the project surface. Comparing Kalshi odds to published entertainment predictions can reveal where consensus differs and highlight undervalued or overvalued featured-artist scenarios.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, this market is priced as a set of binary or multiple-choice contracts representing each potential featured artist or collaborator. Each outcome contract trades at a price between 0 and 100 cents, where the price directly reflects the implied probability of that artist appearing on the Music, Fashion, Film project. Traders buy contracts they believe are underpriced and sell those they view as overpriced. As new announcements, social media hints, or production updates emerge, Kalshi prices adjust in real time, allowing you to enter or exit positions based on evolving information about the project's featured lineup.
The market resolves on Jul 31, 2026. Resolution is determined by official confirmation of which artists are featured on Charli xcx's Music, Fashion, Film project. This confirmation typically comes through the official release, album credits, liner notes, or verified announcements from Charli xcx, her label, or the featured artists themselves. The exact resolution criteria specify which collaborations or features count toward each outcome. Traders should monitor official channels and credible entertainment news sources as the end date approaches to anticipate the final outcome.
Key catalysts include official announcements from Charli xcx or her label revealing featured artists, leaked or previewed tracks with confirmed collaborators, social media hints or cryptic posts from Charli or potential features, music industry reports about studio sessions or collaborations, and release date confirmations. Chart performance or streaming data for related singles can also shift expectations. Surprise guest appearances at live performances or festival sets may hint at upcoming features. Each new piece of credible information typically triggers repricing on Kalshi as traders reassess the likelihood of specific artists appearing on the final project.