TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Who will be featured on 'Daughter from Hell'?
kalshi

Who will be featured on 'Daughter from Hell'?

Volume:
$55,723

Bon Iver

 - Kalshi

Bon Iver - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 18, 2026

Closed: Jul 17, 11:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Bon Iver

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,316
N/A
N/A
$4,937
Settled
No
kalshi

Sabrina Carpenter

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,239
N/A
N/A
$4,734
Settled
No
kalshi

Olivia Rodrigo

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,547
N/A
N/A
$2,150
Settled
No
kalshi

Taylor Swift

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,588
N/A
N/A
$1,388
Settled
No
kalshi

Noah Kahan

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,116
N/A
N/A
$2,014
Settled
No
kalshi

Holly Humberstone

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,757
N/A
N/A
$1,965
Settled
No
kalshi

Lorde

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,592
N/A
N/A
$1,015
Settled
No
kalshi

Rachel Chinouriri

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,583
N/A
N/A
$2,328
Settled
No
kalshi

Clairo

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,594
N/A
N/A
$648
Settled
No
kalshi

Maisie Peters

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,567
N/A
N/A
$770
Settled
No
kalshi

Harry Styles

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,168
N/A
N/A
$361
Settled
No
kalshi

FINNEAS

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$842
N/A
N/A
$547
Settled
No
kalshi

The Japanese House

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$808
N/A
N/A
$339
Settled
No
kalshi

Hozier

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$699
N/A
N/A
$250
Settled
No
kalshi

Conan Gray

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$394
N/A
N/A
$354
Settled
No
kalshi

Billie Eilish

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$382
N/A
N/A
$246
Settled
No
kalshi

Phoebe Bridgers

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$349
N/A
N/A
$335
Settled
No
kalshi

Troye Sivan

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$152
N/A
N/A
$117
Settled
No
kalshi

Laufey

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$31
N/A
N/A
$9
Settled
No
kalshi

Selena Gomez

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 20

Description

This event tracks whether a mysterious album titled 'Daughter from Hell' will feature any of a curated list of contemporary indie and pop artists before July 18, 2026. The market resolves to Yes if any one of these artists appears as a featured performer on the album within the specified timeframe. This appears to be speculative about an unreleased or unannounced musical project and its potential collaborators.

Kalshi

If Taylor Swift is featured on the album 'Daughter from Hell' before Jul 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Olivia Rodrigo is featured on the album 'Daughter from Hell' before Jul 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Noah Kahan is featured on the album 'Daughter from Hell' before Jul 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Lorde is featured on the album 'Daughter from Hell' before Jul 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Sabrina Carpenter is featured on the album 'Daughter from Hell' before Jul 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Phoebe Bridgers is featured on the album 'Daughter from Hell' before Jul 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Clairo is featured on the album 'Daughter from Hell' before Jul 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Harry Styles is featured on the album 'Daughter from Hell' before Jul 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Conan Gray is featured on the album 'Daughter from Hell' before Jul 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If FINNEAS is featured on the album 'Daughter from Hell' before Jul 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Billie Eilish is featured on the album 'Daughter from Hell' before Jul 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Hozier is featured on the album 'Daughter from Hell' before Jul 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Bon Iver is featured on the album 'Daughter from Hell' before Jul 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Laufey is featured on the album 'Daughter from Hell' before Jul 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If The Japanese House is featured on the album 'Daughter from Hell' before Jul 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Holly Humberstone is featured on the album 'Daughter from Hell' before Jul 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Rachel Chinouriri is featured on the album 'Daughter from Hell' before Jul 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Maisie Peters is featured on the album 'Daughter from Hell' before Jul 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Troye Sivan is featured on the album 'Daughter from Hell' before Jul 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Selena Gomez is featured on the album 'Daughter from Hell' before Jul 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Kalshi reflect real-money trader consensus and often diverge from traditional entertainment analyst forecasts or industry insiders' predictions. While analysts may rely on studio statements, leaked scripts, or agent rumors, prediction markets aggregate the collective judgment of many participants with financial incentives to be accurate. Comparing Kalshi odds to published entertainment forecasts can reveal where the market is more bullish or bearish on specific casting choices than conventional wisdom suggests.

On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, each possible featured performer or cast member is priced as a separate binary contract, with odds reflecting the probability traders assign to that outcome occurring. The price of each contract moves continuously as new casting news, production updates, or social media signals emerge. Traders buy contracts they believe are underpriced and sell those they see as overpriced, driving the market toward equilibrium and creating a real-time consensus forecast on who will ultimately be featured in the film.

The market is scheduled to resolve on Jul 18, 2026. Resolution will be determined by official announcements regarding the cast and featured performers in 'Daughter from Hell,' including credits, promotional materials, and studio confirmations. The specific criteria for what constitutes a valid featured role will be clarified as the film's production and release cycle progresses, ensuring traders have a clear understanding of which casting announcements will trigger settlement.

Major catalysts include official studio casting announcements, entertainment news reports, social media reveals by producers or directors, and film festival premieres or screenings. Industry trade publications like Variety and The Hollywood Reporter often break casting news first, creating sharp price movements. Additionally, production updates, trailer releases, and behind-the-scenes content could confirm or hint at featured performers. Any public statement from the filmmakers or cast members about their involvement would likely trigger significant market activity as traders reassess probabilities.