TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Haley Thogmartin
- Polymarket
Haley Thogmartin - Polymarket
1W
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Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 4, 2026
Closed: Sep 3, 10:28 AM EST
Polymarket
Description
Big Brother season 28 premiered on July 9, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is evicted from Big Brother season 28 between market creation and September 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An eviction will qualify if the individual is removed from further competition within the structure of the competition, regardless of whether it happens during a standard eviction cycle, a surprise vote or double eviction, or based on challenge performance. Disqualification or voluntary departure will not count. If an individual is eliminated but later returns, re-enters, or is reinstated, the original elimination will qualify. However, a declaration of elimination that is immediately and explicitly reversed or nullified during the same episode or broadcast segment (e.g., through a judge’s save, secret participation, public vote, or immunity twist) will not qualify. This market will stay open until the end of the relevant episode to confirm the finality of eviction. This market will remain open until a qualifying eviction is confirmed. However, if no qualifying eviction airs on the official broadcast of Big Brother season 28 by September 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be footage from the relevant week of Big Brother Season 28 or a consensus of credible reporting.
Polymarket
Big Brother season 28 premiered on July 9, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is evicted from Big Brother season 28 between market creation and September 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An eviction will qualify if the individual is removed from further competition within the structure of the competition, regardless of whether it happens during a standard eviction cycle, a surprise vote or double eviction, or based on challenge performance. Disqualification or voluntary departure will not count. If an individual is eliminated but later returns, re-enters, or is reinstated, the original elimination will qualify. However, a declaration of elimination that is immediately and explicitly reversed or nullified during the same episode or broadcast segment (e.g., through a judge’s save, secret participation, public vote, or immunity twist) will not qualify. This market will stay open until the end of the relevant episode to confirm the finality of eviction. This market will remain open until a qualifying eviction is confirmed. However, if no qualifying eviction airs on the official broadcast of Big Brother season 28 by September 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be footage from the relevant week of Big Brother Season 28 or a consensus of credible reporting.
Frequently asked questions
Currently, prediction market odds reflect strong confidence in one contestant, contrasting with some analyst forecasts that suggest a tighter race. While analysts may highlight strategic gameplay or alliances, this market has priced in a clear favorite based on recent viewer polls and in-house dynamics. The gap between market odds and expert opinions offers insight into crowd-sourced sentiment versus insider analysis.
This market resolves around Sep 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the eviction is verified against credible public sources. The final result will reflect the official Big Brother broadcast and accompanying media confirmation, ensuring alignment with what viewers see and official announcements from the show.
Key events such as nomination announcements, eviction debates, viewer voting windows, and unexpected twists in the game can all shift this market. Social media buzz, poll updates, and strategic moves by contestants often lead to rapid price adjustments. Any last-minute alliances or backdoor plays may also cause dramatic swings in odds before the final eviction.
