TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 2, 11:25 AM EST
Kalshi
Various athletes, entertainers, and public figures may be officially announced as contestants for an upcoming season of a major television dance competition show, with announcements expected before early October 2026.
Each outcome resolves to Yes if the corresponding individual is either officially announced as a contestant or appears on stage, on screen, or in recorded content as an official contestant in Dancing with the Stars Season 35 before October 1, 2026. Official announcement alone is sufficient for resolution, regardless of whether the performance ultimately occurs. If the show is cancelled after an official announcement, that outcome still resolves to Yes. Multiple people may be announced for the same contestant role (e.g., alternating cast or dual casting), and if the specified individual is among them, the outcome resolves to Yes. An outcome resolves to No if the show completes its run without the individual being announced or performing, or if another person is officially announced as the sole exclusive performer for that role.
The market resolves by Oct 2, 2026, aligning with the expected premiere and casting announcement window for Season 35 of Dancing with the Stars. Resolution is determined by whether each predicted contestant appears as an official cast member performing in the season. Official ABC announcements and the broadcast premiere serve as the authoritative source for which celebrities are confirmed contestants. Once the full cast is publicly revealed and the season begins, all contestant outcome contracts settle based on the actual lineup.
Official ABC casting announcements and social media reveals will be the primary drivers of odds movement. Celebrity news—such as injuries, scheduling conflicts, or public statements about interest in the show—can shift probabilities significantly. Entertainment media reports and insider leaks about potential contestants often precede formal announcements, causing traders to adjust positions. The official cast reveal, typically announced weeks before the premiere, will trigger final price movements as speculation resolves into confirmed facts. Unexpected celebrity developments or last-minute cast changes could also impact odds in the final weeks before the season launches.