TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Entertainment
Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce: Wedding bridesmaids
kalshi

Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce: Wedding bridesmaids

Volume:
$846,555

Abigail Anderson (Berard)

 - Kalshi

Abigail Anderson (Berard) - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 5, 2026

Closed: Jul 5, 4:32 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Abigail Anderson (Berard)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$212,699
N/A
N/A
$111,739
3y 3mo
No
kalshi

Selena Gomez

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$209,384
N/A
N/A
$96,975
3y 3mo
No
kalshi

Gigi Hadid

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$88,753
N/A
N/A
$27,204
3y 3mo
No
kalshi

Kylie Kelce

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$48,141
N/A
N/A
$20,387
3y 3mo
No
kalshi

Blake Lively

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$45,812
N/A
N/A
$29,812
3y 3mo
No
kalshi

Este Haim

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$32,810
N/A
N/A
$17,233
3y 3mo
No
kalshi

Alana Haim

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$30,231
N/A
N/A
$22,759
3y 3mo
No
kalshi

Ashley Avignone

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$25,922
N/A
N/A
$7,825
3y 3mo
No
kalshi

Sabrina Carpenter

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$24,430
N/A
N/A
$10,442
3y 3mo
No
kalshi

Brittany Mahomes

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$22,539
N/A
N/A
$14,580
3y 3mo
No
kalshi

Zoë Kravitz

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$20,432
N/A
N/A
$11,127
3y 3mo
No
kalshi

Cara Delevingne

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$19,662
N/A
N/A
$13,256
3y 3mo
No
kalshi

Lana Del Rey

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$18,408
N/A
N/A
$9,678
3y 3mo
No
kalshi

Ice Spice

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$16,488
N/A
N/A
$10,612
3y 3mo
No
kalshi

Emma Stone

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$15,039
N/A
N/A
$9,989
3y 3mo
No
kalshi

Danielle Haim

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9,144
N/A
N/A
$6,731
3y 3mo
No
kalshi

Sophie Turner

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,662
N/A
N/A
$4,344
3y 3mo
No
Total markets: 17

Intro

This market on Kalshi tracks whether Abigail Anderson (Berard) will serve as a bridesmaid at a wedding ceremony between Travis Kelce and Taylor Swift, with a leading probability of 1.0%. The secondary outcome—whether Selena Gomez will be a bridesmaid at the same event—stands at 1.0%. Resolution will be determined by official wedding records or credible media documentation. Watch for any public engagement announcement or wedding date confirmation before January 1, 2030, which marks the final resolution window for this market.

Kalshi

The person must serve in the specified bridesmaid role at the actual wedding ceremony, not merely at the rehearsal, reception, or other wedding events. If the person is listed in the wedding program or announced as having the role but does not attend or participate, the market resolves to No. If the person serves as a substitute or replacement in the role during the ceremony itself, the market resolves to Yes. If the couple has multiple ceremonies (religious and civil), the person must serve in the role in at least one ceremony. If the wedding is cancelled or indefinitely postponed beyond the date, the market resolves to No for all outcomes. If the couple has only a legal marriage without any ceremony involving a wedding party, the market resolves to No. Resolution is based on official wedding announcements, wedding programs, ceremony materials, and reporting from major media outlets including The New York Times, People Magazine, Vogue, official social media accounts, and verified photography or videography from the wedding.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Kalshi reflect real-money trader conviction and differ from traditional analyst commentary or celebrity gossip columns. Markets price in public statements, social media signals, and historical patterns of Taylor Swift's wedding party selections. While entertainment analysts may rely on speculation or insider rumors, prediction markets aggregate financial incentives—traders profit only if their forecasts prove accurate. This creates a disciplined pricing mechanism that often diverges from casual punditry, offering a data-driven alternative to conventional entertainment predictions.

This market resolves on Jan 1, 2030. Resolution depends on official confirmation of the wedding party composition, typically announced through Taylor Swift's representatives, wedding announcements, or credible media coverage of the ceremony. The market will settle based on verified information about who actually serves as a bridesmaid in the Travis Kelce and Taylor Swift wedding. Traders should monitor official announcements and reputable entertainment news sources as the event date approaches for clarity on which outcomes will be deemed correct.

Key catalysts include public statements from Taylor Swift or her team about wedding plans, social media activity from potential bridesmaids, celebrity news coverage of relationship developments, and any official wedding announcements. Changes in Taylor Swift's inner circle or public feuds with potential bridesmaids could shift trader sentiment. Engagement announcements, wedding date confirmations, or hints about the bridal party would trigger significant market repricing. Entertainment news outlets and Taylor Swift's official channels should be monitored closely, as major developments typically drive rapid odds adjustments as traders reassess probabilities.