TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$85,014,378

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,391,695,592

394,774

Markets across

30,069

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,615

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Entertainment
Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce: Wedding attendees
kalshi

Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce: Wedding attendees

Volume:
$864,239

Selena Gomez

 - Kalshi

Selena Gomez - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 6, 2026

Closed: Jul 5, 10:45 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Selena Gomez

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$101,206
N/A
N/A
$69,236
2y 3mo
Yes
kalshi

Patrick Mahomes

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$59,653
N/A
N/A
$22,330
2y 3mo
Yes
kalshi

Brittany Mahomes

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$52,356
N/A
N/A
$10,902
2y 3mo
Yes
kalshi

Sabrina Carpenter

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$41,678
N/A
N/A
$11,674
2y 3mo
Yes
kalshi

Benny Blanco

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$37,743
N/A
N/A
$11,602
2y 3mo
Yes
kalshi

Gracie Abrams

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$36,286
N/A
N/A
$12,053
2y 3mo
Yes
kalshi

Jack Antonoff

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$30,050
N/A
N/A
$14,372
2y 3mo
Yes
kalshi

Alana Haim

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$27,982
N/A
N/A
$11,662
2y 3mo
Yes
kalshi

Este Haim

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$21,875
N/A
N/A
$9,007
2y 3mo
Yes
kalshi

Danielle Haim

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$20,531
N/A
N/A
$8,692
2y 3mo
Yes
kalshi

Jason Kelce

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$18,463
N/A
N/A
$11,703
2y 3mo
Yes
kalshi

Max Martin

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$18,259
N/A
N/A
$5,498
2y 3mo
Yes
kalshi

Blake Lively

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$109,677
N/A
N/A
$48,279
2y 3mo
No
kalshi

Margaret Qualley

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$87,268
N/A
N/A
$50,239
2y 3mo
No
kalshi

Lana Del Rey

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$58,805
N/A
N/A
$32,662
2y 3mo
No
kalshi

Katy Perry

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$32,695
N/A
N/A
$19,559
2y 3mo
No
kalshi

Phoebe Bridgers

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$29,167
N/A
N/A
$14,275
2y 3mo
No
kalshi

Harry Styles

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$27,943
N/A
N/A
$12,888
2y 3mo
No
kalshi

Florence Welch

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$26,546
N/A
N/A
$8,919
2y 3mo
No
kalshi

Justin Trudeau

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10,705
N/A
N/A
$4,517
2y 3mo
No
kalshi

Jared Goff

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,816
N/A
N/A
$3,509
2y 3mo
No
kalshi

Lorde

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,536
N/A
N/A
$4,309
2y 3mo
No
Total markets: 22

Intro

This market tracks whether Margaret Qualley will attend Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's wedding ceremony. On Kalshi, the leading outcome carries a probability of 1.0%. Resolution will be determined by whether Margaret Qualley is confirmed as an attendee at the wedding, according to the resolution source. Watch for official wedding announcements or guest list confirmations as the event approaches the estimated resolution window by the end of 2028.

Kalshi

Attendance is confirmed if a person is reported present at the event by any credible source, including social media posts by the attendee themselves. Virtual attendance counts as attendance unless the event is explicitly designated as in-person only. Brief appearances or partial attendance qualify as attendance for resolution purposes.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard tracks real-time odds and trading activity for the Who will attend Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's Wedding? event on Kalshi. It displays the current probability of each potential attendee outcome, historical price movements, and $27,143 in 24-hour trading volume. The interface shows the leading outcome—currently Will Blake Lively attend Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's Wedding?—alongside its implied probability. Total group volume across all related outcomes stands at $864,239, reflecting sustained trader interest in this celebrity event prediction market through Dec 31, 2028.

The market resolves on Dec 31, 2028. Resolution will be determined by official confirmation of attendees at the actual wedding ceremony and reception. Outcomes depend on verified guest lists, credible media coverage, and documented attendance records from the event itself. Each binary contract settles based on whether the named individual was physically present at the wedding. Traders should monitor announcements from Taylor Swift, Travis Kelce, and their representatives as the date approaches for any updates affecting the likelihood of specific attendees.

Key catalysts include public statements from Taylor Swift or Travis Kelce about guest lists, celebrity relationship developments or breakups, social media hints from potential attendees, and entertainment news coverage of wedding planning. Friendship status changes, professional collaborations, or public feuds involving celebrities on the attendee list could shift probabilities significantly. Additionally, any official wedding announcements regarding date, location, or guest count would trigger market repricing. Traders should track celebrity news outlets, social media activity, and statements from Swift and Kelce's representatives for signals affecting attendee likelihood through Dec 31, 2028.