TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 5:16 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the number of maps played in an upcoming League of Legends match between two teams. The outcome depends on whether the match extends beyond a certain number of maps, reflecting the competitive intensity and duration of the game.
The event evaluates whether the specified League of Legends match between White Dragons and The Otter Side, scheduled for September 13, 2026, will exceed either 3.5 or 4.5 maps. If the match plays more than 3.5 maps, the 'Over 3.5 maps' outcome is resolved positively. Similarly, if more than 4.5 maps are played, the 'Over 4.5 maps' outcome is resolved positively. The rules clarify that Kalshi, the platform hosting the event, holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners. The event effectively synthesizes two separate thresholds for map count into a cohesive evaluation of match length.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs, leading to odds that can be more responsive to new information or shifts in public opinion. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information access, analytical approaches, or simply the collective judgment of traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different map totals. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders adjust their bids and asks based on their own analysis and expectations, creating a dynamic pricing mechanism. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices will fluctuate, providing a real-time assessment of the likely outcome of the match.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total number of maps played in the White Dragons versus The Otter Side CS2 match will determine the winning contract. Resolution will be based on official match results published by the tournament organizer, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies for future events.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player form, team strategies, or potential roster changes for either White Dragons or The Otter Side could shift expectations. Unexpected announcements about map picks or bans during the match could also cause significant price movements. Furthermore, major upsets in other CS2 tournaments or shifts in overall public sentiment towards either team could impact trading volume and the perceived probabilities of different map totals. Monitoring these signals is key to understanding potential market fluctuations.