TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 22, 1:42 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks which song will top the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the month of September 2026. Participants can speculate on the popularity and chart performance of specific songs during that period. The outcome depends solely on the official Billboard rankings at the end of September 2026.
Each market resolves to 'Yes' if its respective song is ranked #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for any week in September 2026. The resolution is based on Billboard's official weekly chart listings published during that month. All markets are independent, meaning the performance of one song does not affect the resolution of another. Billboard has not endorsed these markets, and any references to Billboard or the Hot 100 are used descriptively only.
Compared to analyst forecasts, prediction market odds often reflect a blend of expert insight and crowd-driven speculation. While analysts may highlight songs based on early performance metrics, this market incorporates real-time betting activity that can react faster to surprise releases, viral trends, or chart maneuvering. Traders might assign higher or lower probabilities to certain tracks than traditional forecasts, depending on betting patterns and liquidity.
This market resolves around Sep 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winning song is determined by the official Billboard Hot 100 chart for the relevant September week, as published by Billboard. Traders should monitor chart announcements closely in the days leading up to settlement.
Several signals could shift this market before it settles. Major label releases, social media virality, streaming spikes, or chart-controlling strategies like radio play and playlist placements can all influence trader sentiment. Awards show performances, collaborations, or controversies surrounding leading artists may also cause rapid price adjustments. Keep an eye on weekly chart movements and any last-minute promotional pushes as Sep 26, 2026 approaches.