TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Invalid Date EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the region that wins the most series in the knockout stage of the Mid-Season Invitational 2026 (MSI 2026), currently scheduled for June 28 - July 12, 2026. Intra-region series will count for one series win for the purposes of this market. In case of a tie the market will resolve based on the region with higher game differential. If a tie persists, the market will resolve to the region with the better head to head series differential. If a tie still persists, the market will resolve to the region with the highest placing single team. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the region that comes first alphabetically. If the winner of MSI 2026 is not determined by July 26, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the LoL Esports website (https://lolesports.com). However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/leagueoflegends/Mid-Season_Invitational/2026) may also be used. Regions counted in MSI 2026: - LCK (South Korea) - LPL (China) - LEC (Europe / EMEA) - LCP (Asia-Pacific) - LCS (North America) - CBLOL (Brazil)
This market will resolve according to the region that wins the most series in the knockout stage of the Mid-Season Invitational 2026 (MSI 2026), currently scheduled for June 28 - July 12, 2026. Intra-region series will count for one series win for the purposes of this market. In case of a tie the market will resolve based on the region with higher game differential. If a tie persists, the market will resolve to the region with the better head to head series differential. If a tie still persists, the market will resolve to the region with the highest placing single team. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the region that comes first alphabetically. If the winner of MSI 2026 is not determined by July 26, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the LoL Esports website (https://lolesports.com). However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/leagueoflegends/Mid-Season_Invitational/2026) may also be used. Regions counted in MSI 2026: - LCK (South Korea) - LPL (China) - LEC (Europe / EMEA) - LCP (Asia-Pacific) - LCS (North America) - CBLOL (Brazil)
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets like this one aggregate the beliefs of traders risking real capital. Prediction markets typically incorporate breaking news and sentiment shifts faster than sportsbooks adjust their lines. For esports events like MSI, prediction market pricing can reveal sharper consensus on regional strength, especially when mainstream sportsbooks offer limited coverage or wider spreads on niche regional outcomes.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader buy and sell orders into real-time probability estimates for each region. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As traders deposit capital and place bets on their favored region, the price adjusts continuously to reflect the collective forecast. Higher prices indicate stronger conviction that a region will lead in series wins; lower prices signal skepticism. The market's depth and liquidity allow traders to enter or exit positions at transparent, algorithmically determined prices throughout the countdown to the knockout stage.
Several catalysts can shift odds in this market before resolution. Roster announcements, player transfers, or injury news involving key regional representatives will influence expectations of competitive strength. Scrim results and pre-tournament exhibition matches often provide early signals about which regions are peaking. Meta shifts in the game itself—balance patches or item changes—can favor certain regional playstyles. As the tournament approaches, each region's group stage performance and head-to-head records will refine trader conviction. Late-breaking coaching changes or team chemistry updates can also trigger repricing as the knockout stage draws near.