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Which artists will have #1 hits in the US in May?
polymarket

Which artists will have #1 hits in the US in May?

Volume:
$186,447

Ariana Grande

 - Polymarket

Ariana Grande - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 2, 2026

Closed: May 30, 8:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Ariana Grande

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$9,122
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Drake

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,716
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Olivia Rodrigo

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$895
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Olivia Dean

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$157,950
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Alex Warren

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,167
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Don Toliver

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,940
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Taylor Swift

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,389
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Bruno Mars

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,281
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Beyonce

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$950
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Kanye West

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$709
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Noah Kahan

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$629
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Bad Bunny

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$607
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

The Weeknd

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$603
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Gracie Abrams

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$488
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 14

Intro

This market tracks whether selected artists will achieve a number-one song on the US charts during May. On Polymarket, Ariana Grande holds a 94.5% probability of securing a #1 hit, while Taylor Swift stands at 5.5%. Resolution will be determined by the Spotify Top 50 - USA chart, with any song reaching the #1 position on any day in May qualifying for a "Yes" outcome. Watch for chart movements throughout May 2026 as the resolution date of May 31st approaches to see which artists claim the top spot.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard tracks real-time odds and trading activity for Which artists will have #1 hits in the US in May on Polymarket. It displays the current probability that each artist will achieve a number-one hit on the US charts during May, updated as traders buy and sell shares. The dashboard shows 24-hour volume of $10,594 and total group volume of $186,447, reflecting active market participation. You can monitor price movements, historical odds trends, and individual artist probabilities to understand how the market is pricing each outcome.

The market resolves on May 31, 2026, after the May chart period concludes. Resolution is determined by official US chart data, specifically whether each artist achieved a number-one position on the relevant Billboard or industry-standard chart during May. Each outcome is binary: either the artist had a number-one hit in the US during that month, or they did not. Traders should monitor chart announcements and official music industry sources as the resolution date approaches to track which artists have qualified.

Key catalysts include confirmed single releases and release dates, streaming performance and playlist placement on major platforms, radio airplay and promotional campaigns, chart debuts and weekly positioning, collaborations or features that boost visibility, and social media or viral moments. Chart performance in April and early May provides direct signals about momentum heading into the final chart period. Major award show performances, surprise announcements, or competitive releases from other artists can also shift probabilities. Traders should monitor music industry news, chart tracking services, and artist social accounts for developments that indicate likelihood of achieving number-one status.