TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 6, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the chart performance of a specific song by Olivia Rodrigo on a major music chart at a future date. It focuses on where the song places within the top positions, reflecting anticipated audience engagement and industry trends.
The event evaluates the ranking of the song "you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love" by Olivia Rodrigo on the Billboard 200 chart for the week dated September 12, 2026. Each numbered market corresponds to a specific ranking position from #1 to #10. If the song achieves the exact ranking specified in any market, that market resolves positively (Yes). The secondary rules clarify that Billboard has not endorsed these markets, and any references to Billboard or its associated marks are purely descriptive, indicating no formal affiliation or endorsement by Billboard. The outcome is determined solely by the song's actual chart position on the specified date.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders actively set prices through buying and selling contracts that represent the binary outcome — whether the song charts that week. The current implied probability reflects supply and demand dynamics, with volume of $0 indicating recent trading interest. Price fluctuations often respond to news about Olivia Rodrigo’s releases or chart-related developments.
This market resolves around Sep 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once official Billboard 200 chart data for the week of Sep 12, 2026 is published. The result is determined by verifying whether the specified song appears on that chart, using publicly available industry reports and announcements as the reference point.
Key signals include Olivia Rodrigo’s new song releases, streaming numbers, radio airplay data, and any major promotional events or controversies surrounding the track. Weekly chart predictions from music publications, fan engagement metrics, and competitive chart activity can also shift trader sentiment and impact odds in this market as the resolution date approaches.