TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 2, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of Olivia Rodrigo's song "you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love" on the Billboard 200 chart for the week of August 8, 2026. The outcome depends on the song's specific chart position that week, reflecting its popularity and sales or streaming figures.
The event determines the exact ranking of Olivia Rodrigo's song "you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love" on the Billboard 200 chart for the week of August 8, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific chart position from #1 to #10. If the song appears on the chart at any of these positions for that week, the respective market resolves to 'Yes.' The secondary rules clarify that Billboard has not endorsed these markets, and any references to Billboard or its associated marks are purely descriptive, indicating no formal affiliation or endorsement by Billboard. The resolution hinges solely on the official Billboard 200 chart data for the specified week.
Currently, prediction market odds imply a range of possible chart positions, with the most likely outcome according to traders clustering around certain spots. Analyst forecasts from music industry experts may differ, as they incorporate additional variables like promotional strategies and historical chart performance. Comparing these two perspectives can highlight areas of consensus or divergence, helping investors gauge whether market sentiment aligns with expert opinion for this market.
This market resolves around Aug 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official Billboard 200 chart for the week dated Aug 8, 2026 is published and verified against credible public sources. The final chart position of the specified Olivia Rodrigo song will set the result, closing all remaining positions at that time.
Key signals include early chart tracking data from Billboard or industry monitoring services, streaming numbers and sales figures released ahead of the official chart week, and any last-minute promotional activities by Olivia Rodrigo or her label. Unexpected events such as chart rule changes, competing releases, or significant media coverage could also shift trader sentiment and move prices in this market as the August 8 deadline approaches.