TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 23, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of Olivia Rodrigo's song "you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love" on the Billboard 200 chart for the week of August 29, 2026. The outcome depends on the song's chart position that week, reflecting its commercial success and popularity among listeners.
The event determines the chart position of Olivia Rodrigo's song "you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love" on the Billboard 200 for the week of August 29, 2026. Each outcome corresponds to a specific ranking from #1 to #10. If the song appears at any of these positions, the respective market resolves to 'Yes.' The markets are descriptive references to Billboard and do not imply endorsement or affiliation by Billboard. The resolution hinges solely on the official Billboard 200 chart data for the specified week.
This market resolves around Sep 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the Billboard 200 chart for the week of Aug 29, 2026 is officially published. The final ranking will be verified against credible public sources, determining whether contracts for each possible position are settled as winners or losers based on the actual chart placement.
Several signals could shift this market before it settles. Key catalysts include early streaming performance, social media buzz around the song, any chart-related announcements from Billboard, and broader industry trends affecting album sales. Major surprises — such as unexpected chart rule changes or competing releases — may also cause rapid re-pricing as traders reassess the likelihood of different rankings.