TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 9, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of Olivia Rodrigo's song "you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love" on the Billboard 200 chart for the week of August 15, 2026. It focuses on where the song ranks among the top positions that week, reflecting public interest and sales or streaming data.
The event determines the ranking of Olivia Rodrigo's song "you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love" on the Billboard 200 chart for the week of August 15, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific chart position from #1 to #10. If the song occupies any of these positions on the specified chart date, the respective market resolves to 'Yes.' The markets are independent, meaning the resolution of one does not affect the others. All markets share the same secondary disclaimer, clarifying that Billboard has not endorsed these products and that any references to Billboard or its marks are purely descriptive.
Compared to analyst forecasts, prediction market odds reflect a blend of expert expectations and crowd-driven speculation. While analysts may issue their projections based on sales data, media coverage, and historical performance, this market incorporates those insights alongside real-time trading activity. Traders might price in factors such as viral moments or last-minute promotional pushes that aren’t fully captured in traditional forecasts.
This market resolves around Aug 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official Billboard 200 chart for the week dated August 15, 2026 is published. The ranking will be verified against credible public sources, such as Billboard’s official website and widely recognized music industry reports. No manual intervention or platform-specific rules affect this process—only the publicly announced chart positions matter.
Several signals could shift this market before it resolves. Strong performance in streaming numbers, radio play, or music video views might boost expectations for a higher ranking. Conversely, negative press, competition from new releases, or underwhelming sales could push the odds downward. Social media trends, chart analysis pieces from influential critics, and any last-minute marketing campaigns will also influence trader sentiment and price movement.