TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
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Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 15, 2026
Latest in Entertainment
Closed: Sep 13, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event tracks the commercial performance of the album 'WILD' by KATSEYE, focusing on its position in a key music industry ranking for a specific week. The outcome depends on where the album lands within the top positions of the Billboard 200 chart, reflecting consumer and critical interest.
Kalshi
The event determines whether the album 'WILD' by KATSEYE achieves a top-10 position on the Billboard 200 chart for the week dated September 19, 2026. Each numbered rule specifies a unique ranking from #1 to #10, with the market resolving to 'Yes' if the album is found in any of these positions. All rules share identical secondary disclaimers clarifying that Billboard has not endorsed the market and that any references to Billboard or its charts are purely descriptive. The collective rules create a single cohesive outcome based on the album’s chart performance within the specified timeframe and ranking range.
Frequently asked questions
Currently, there are no widely available analyst forecasts specifically predicting the Billboard 200 ranking of 'WILD' by KATSEYE in September 2026. However, this market allows for a crowdsourced prediction, aggregating the insights of many individuals. If traditional music industry analysts were to release predictions, it would be interesting to compare their expectations to the collective wisdom reflected in the odds on Kalshi. Discrepancies between analyst forecasts and the market price could indicate areas where the crowd believes analysts are over- or underestimating the song's potential.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning buyers and sellers set the odds by placing bids and asks. The current price reflects the probability that a specific ranking outcome will occur. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the latest information and sentiment. The market's depth—the volume of bids and asks at different price levels—indicates how confident traders are in their predictions. A higher volume suggests greater agreement, while significant price fluctuations can signal new information or changing expectations about 'WILD'’s chart performance.
This market resolves around Sep 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official Billboard 200 chart for the week of September 19, 2026, is published. The ranking of 'WILD' by KATSEYE on that chart will determine the winning outcome in this market. The Billboard 200 is a standard industry ranking based on album and track equivalent units, and the resolution will be verified against credible public reporting of the chart results. The market will then pay out to those who correctly predicted the song’s position.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Early streaming numbers and radio play for 'WILD' upon its release will be key indicators. Positive critical reviews and social media buzz could also drive up the song’s predicted chart position. Conversely, negative reception or a crowded release week with competing albums could lower expectations. Major events like award show performances or viral TikTok trends featuring the song could also cause substantial shifts in the market. Any news related to KATSEYE’s promotional activities or overall popularity will likely influence trading activity and the market price.
