TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 6, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of Michael Jackson's 'Thriller' album on the Billboard 200 chart for the week of September 12, 2026. It focuses on where the album ranks relative to other releases during that period. The outcome depends solely on the chart position of the album in the specified week.
The event determines the ranking of Michael Jackson's 'Thriller' on the Billboard 200 chart for the week of September 12, 2026. If 'Thriller' appears in any position from #1 to #10 on the chart for that week, the market resolves to Yes. Each primary rule specifies a distinct ranking position that would trigger a Yes outcome, covering the top ten spots. All secondary rules clarify that Billboard has not endorsed these markets and that any references to Billboard or its charts are purely descriptive, with no implied affiliation or endorsement. The resolution hinges exclusively on the official Billboard 200 chart data for the specified week.
Several signals could shift this market before Sep 16, 2026. Major announcements such as anniversary editions, streaming platform exclusives, or high-profile performances tied to Michael Jackson could boost expectations. Conversely, competing chart releases or changes in consumer listening trends might lower the probability. Any surge in media coverage around 'Thriller' is likely to influence trader sentiment and move the odds.