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Where will 'The Great Divide (The Last Of The Bugs)' by Noah Kahan rank on the Billboard 200 chart dated Jun 20, 2026?
kalshi

Where will 'The Great Divide (The Last Of The Bugs)' by Noah Kahan rank on the Billboard 200 chart dated Jun 20, 2026?

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1

 - Kalshi

1 - Kalshi

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Vol.

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Resolved Jun 16, 2026

Closed: Jun 14, 11:59 PM EST

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
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24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

1

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N/A
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100¢
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No
kalshi

2

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No
kalshi

3

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100¢
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No
kalshi

4

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100¢
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Yes
kalshi

5

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100¢
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No
kalshi

6

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100¢
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No
kalshi

7

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100¢
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No
kalshi

8

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100¢
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No
kalshi

9

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100¢
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No
kalshi

10

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100¢
N/A
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N/A
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Settled
No
Total markets: 10

Description

A specific album by Noah Kahan appears somewhere within the top ten positions on the Billboard 200 albums chart for the week of June 20, 2026.

Kalshi

Resolution is determined by the official Billboard 200 chart ranking for the week of June 20, 2026. The event resolves to Yes if 'The Great Divide (The Last Of The Bugs)' by Noah Kahan appears at any position from #1 through #10 on that chart. The specific ranking position determines which individual market outcome resolves affirmatively. Billboard and its associated marks are referenced descriptively and do not indicate endorsement of this product or affiliation with Kalshi.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Kalshi reflect real-money trader expectations and often diverge from traditional music industry analyst forecasts. While analysts may rely on historical chart performance, artist trajectory, and industry reports, prediction markets incorporate live sentiment from traders betting directly on outcomes. Comparing Kalshi implied probabilities to published forecasts from music publications and chart analysts can reveal where the market sees undervalued or overvalued ranking scenarios. Markets tend to update faster than analyst reports as new streaming data, radio play, and sales figures emerge closer to the June 20, 2026 chart date.

On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, this event is priced as a set of outcome contracts representing different Billboard 200 ranking bands for Noah Kahan's album. Traders buy and sell shares corresponding to each possible rank range, with prices reflecting the collective probability assigned by the market. As new information surfaces—such as pre-order numbers, streaming performance, or competing releases—Kalshi prices adjust dynamically. The platform's order book and spread between bid and ask prices show real-time liquidity and conviction levels among traders on specific ranking outcomes.

This market resolves on Jun 24, 2026, after the official Billboard 200 chart dated June 20, 2026 is published. The outcome is determined by the final chart position assigned to 'The Great Divide (The Last Of The Bugs)' by Noah Kahan on that specific chart date. Resolution occurs once Billboard releases its official rankings, which typically happens in the early morning hours following the chart's official date. Traders holding positions in the correct outcome receive payouts based on the final confirmed ranking.

Several catalysts could shift market prices for this ranking prediction. Major streaming milestones, radio airplay announcements, and pre-order surge data will influence trader expectations. Competing album releases scheduled near June 2026 could impact Noah Kahan's chart position. Social media momentum, award nominations, or high-profile performances may drive listener engagement. Industry news about label promotion spending or tour announcements could signal confidence in commercial performance. Chart-tracking services like Hits Data Network may release early projections. Additionally, broader music industry trends, playlist placements on major platforms, and any unexpected controversies or positive press will shape how traders reassess ranking probabilities as the June 20, 2026 chart date approaches.