TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
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24H TRANSACTIONS:
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OPEN INTEREST:
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404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 6, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the chart performance of Noah Kahan's album 'The Great Divide' by determining its position on the Billboard 200 chart for the week of September 12, 2026. The outcome depends on where the album lands within the top ten positions that week.
The event resolves based on the Billboard 200 chart ranking of Noah Kahan's album 'The Great Divide' for the week dated September 12, 2026. If the album ranks within positions #1 through #10 on that chart, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. All markets refer to the same chart and week, with each specific ranking outcome defined as a separate resolving condition. Billboard has not endorsed these markets, and any references to Billboard or its charts are purely descriptive.
While analyst forecasts may suggest varied expectations for the album’s performance, this market lets traders bet on actual outcomes based on current betting trends. The gap between prediction market odds and analyst predictions can highlight where public sentiment diverges from expert views, often reflecting real-time reactions to new data, media coverage, or fan engagement.
This market resolves around Sep 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official Billboard 200 chart for the week of September 12, 2026, is published and verified against credible public sources. The final ranking will set the market’s result based on where the album lands on that specific chart date.
Key signals that could shift this market include major media features, social media buzz, streaming numbers, chart predictions from industry insiders, and any last-minute promotions or controversies surrounding the album. Sudden changes in consumer behavior or competing releases around the same timeframe may also influence trader sentiment and shift odds before resolution.