TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 2, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of Noah Kahan's album 'The Great Divide' on the Billboard 200 chart for the week of August 8, 2026. It evaluates whether the album secures a top-ten position, reflecting its commercial success and audience reception in that specific timeframe.
The event determines if Noah Kahan's album 'The Great Divide' achieves a ranking within the top ten positions on the Billboard 200 chart for the week dated August 8, 2026. Each primary rule specifies that if the album is ranked from #1 through #10, the market resolves to 'Yes.' The secondary rules clarify that Billboard has not endorsed these markets, and any references to Billboard or its associated marks are purely descriptive, indicating no formal affiliation or endorsement between Billboard and the market operator. The outcome hinges solely on the album's chart position as published by Billboard for that specific week.
Compared to analyst forecasts, prediction market odds reflect the collective judgment of active traders, which can diverge from expert opinions. While analysts may weigh factors like pre-release reviews and historical performance, market prices incorporate real-time betting activity and can shift quickly with new signals, often showing a different perspective than traditional forecasts for this market.
This market resolves around Aug 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official Billboard 200 chart for that week is published and verified against credible public sources. The ranking will be determined by standard chart methodology, and the market will close accordingly, finalizing positions based on the announced chart data.