TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 30, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the potential chart performance of Olivia Dean's album 'The Art of Loving' by determining its position on the Billboard 200 chart for the week of September 5, 2026. It explores how the album's sales, streaming numbers, and other factors might influence its ranking among the week's most popular albums.
The event evaluates the ranking of Olivia Dean's album 'The Art of Loving' on the Billboard 200 chart for the week dated September 5, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific chart position from #1 to #10. If the album occupies any of these positions on the specified chart date, the respective market resolves to 'Yes.' The secondary rules clarify that Billboard has not endorsed these markets, and any references to Billboard or its associated marks are purely descriptive, indicating no formal affiliation or endorsement by Billboard. The outcome for each market is binary—'Yes' if the album ranks in the exact position specified, and 'No' otherwise.
Compared to analyst forecasts, this market often reflects a more nuanced view of public and fan sentiment. While analysts may focus on sales data and historical performance, prediction market odds incorporate a broader range of inputs, including social media trends and pre-release buzz. Traders may assign different weight to these factors, leading to divergence from traditional forecasts. Monitoring both can give a fuller picture of expectations for the album’s chart performance.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders set the price based on their expectations for where the album will land on the Billboard 200. The current top outcome reflects the most likely ranking according to market participants, with the probability expressed as a percentage. Volume of $0 shows overall interest, and price movements react to new information such as streaming numbers, promotional events, or competitor releases.
This market resolves around Sep 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official Billboard 200 chart for the week of Sep 5, 2026, is published and verifiable from credible public reporting. The ranking will be determined by standard chart rules, including sales and streaming data, and once confirmed, all positions settle automatically based on where the album places.
Several signals could shift this market before it resolves. Key events include major music releases competing for chart positions, significant social media campaigns or viral moments for the album, interview appearances or performances by Olivia Dean, and any last-minute sales or streaming surges driven by promotions. Additionally, industry news such as chart rule changes or reporting delays could also influence trader sentiment and shift odds.