TOTAL VOLUME:
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24H VOL:
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24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
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MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
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Vol.
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Resolved Sep 1, 2026
Latest in Entertainment
Closed: Aug 30, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event tracks the performance of Noah Kahan's album 'Stick Season' on the Billboard 200 chart for the week of September 5, 2026. It evaluates where the album ranks among the top positions on that chart, reflecting its popularity and sales or streaming figures during that specific period.
Kalshi
The event determines the ranking of Noah Kahan's 'Stick Season' on the Billboard 200 chart for the week of September 5, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific ranking position from #1 to #10. If the album achieves any of these positions, the respective market resolves to 'Yes.' The markets are independent, meaning the resolution of one does not affect the others. All markets share the same secondary rule, clarifying that references to Billboard are purely descriptive and do not imply endorsement or affiliation between Billboard and the platform hosting these markets. The outcome is solely based on the official Billboard 200 chart data for the specified week.
Frequently asked questions
Currently, prediction market odds reflect a different outlook than many analyst forecasts for this market. While some industry analysts may lean toward higher or lower chart positions based on pre-release buzz, market participants are pricing in their own expectations based on recent trading activity. The gap between these two perspectives can offer clues about where sentiment may shift before Sep 9, 2026. Tracking both sources helps identify potential moves.
On Kalshi, this market reflects trader expectations through dynamic odds that adjust based on buying and selling activity. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current pricing mechanism uses a balanced order book where participants specify their desired odds, influencing the implied probability of each possible Billboard 200 ranking outcome. Volume of $0 provides insight into market interest, while recent 24-hour volume of $0 shows how actively traders are engaging with the market right now. These prices are updated continuously as new trades occur, capturing collective sentiment about Noah Kahan’s chart performance.
This market resolves around Sep 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official Billboard 200 chart for that week is published and verifiable from credible public reporting. The ranking will be determined by certified sales and streaming data for the tracking week ending prior to the chart date, closing the market once the results are officially announced.
Several signals or events could shift expectations in this market before Sep 9, 2026. Strong chart performance in the weeks leading up to the Billboard 200 release, media coverage of 'Stick Season,' streaming numbers on platforms like Spotify or Apple Music, and any last-minute chart rules changes could all influence trader sentiment. Additionally, competitor album releases around the same time period may affect Noah Kahan’s ranking chances. As the release date approaches, real-time data from early chart tracking reports and industry analyst predictions will likely cause significant price movements, especially if there’s a surge in sales or streams.
