TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 6, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of Noah Kahan's album 'Stick Season' on the Billboard 200 chart for the week of September 12, 2026. It evaluates where the album ranks among the top positions on that chart, reflecting its popularity and commercial success during that specific period.
The event determines the ranking of Noah Kahan's 'Stick Season' on the Billboard 200 chart for the week of September 12, 2026. If the album secures any position from #1 to #10 on the chart for that week, the event resolves positively. Each primary rule specifies a distinct ranking outcome—from first place to tenth place—all leading to the same affirmative resolution. The secondary rules clarify that Billboard has not endorsed these markets, and any references to Billboard or its associated marks are purely descriptive, indicating no formal affiliation or endorsement by Billboard. The focus is solely on the chart position of the album during the specified week.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, prices are set through continuous trading where participants submit bids and offers based on their expectations for the album’s chart performance. The current pricing reflects the collective judgment of all traders on that venue, factoring in recent news, social media buzz, and historical chart trends for similar releases.
This market resolves around Sep 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once official Billboard chart data for that week is published and verified against credible public sources. The ranking will be determined by standard Billboard methodology, and the market will close immediately after the data becomes publicly available.
Several signals could shift this market before it resolves. Key releases, streaming platform announcements, or viral moments surrounding the album often create rapid price changes on Kalshi. Media coverage leading up to Sep 16, 2026—such as chart predictions from industry publications or high-profile performances—can also influence trader sentiment. Additionally, any last-minute shifts in fan purchasing behavior or digital campaign effectiveness may dramatically alter expectations for the Billboard 200 ranking market by the time the chart is finalized.