TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
1
- Kalshi
1 - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Aug 18, 2026
Closed: Aug 16, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event tracks the performance of Noah Kahan's album 'Stick Season' on the Billboard 200 chart for the week of August 22, 2026. It evaluates where the album ranks among the top positions on that chart, reflecting its popularity and sales or streaming figures during that specific period.
Kalshi
The event determines whether Noah Kahan's 'Stick Season' album achieves a top-10 ranking on the Billboard 200 chart for the week of August 22, 2026. Each primary rule specifies that if the album is ranked at a particular position from #1 to #10 on the chart for that week, the corresponding market resolves to 'Yes.' The secondary rules clarify that Billboard has not endorsed these markets or products, and any references to Billboard or its charts are purely descriptive, indicating no formal affiliation or endorsement between Billboard and the market operator. The outcome hinges solely on the album's position on the officially published Billboard 200 chart for the specified week.
Frequently asked questions
Currently, prediction market odds reflect trader expectations about the album's potential performance, which can diverge from traditional analyst forecasts that rely on sales data, streaming projections, and historical trends. While analysts may offer their rankings based on pre-release buzz and past album performance, this market incorporates crowd-sourced sentiment and can react quickly to new developments like early reviews or social media trends.
This market resolves around Aug 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once official Billboard 200 chart data for the week dated Aug 22, 2026 is published and verifiable from credible public reporting. The final ranking will be determined by Billboard's official methodology, which considers multi-metric data including sales, streaming, and track equivalent albums.
Key signals that could shift odds in this market include early sales figures, streaming numbers on platforms like Spotify and Apple Music, media coverage and reviews, social media engagement trends, and any notable performances or promotions by Noah Kahan. Major developments such as chart competition from other releases or unexpected events could also cause rapid price changes as traders reassess probabilities.
