TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 9, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of Noah Kahan's album 'Stick Season' on the Billboard 200 chart for the week of August 15, 2026. It examines how the album's ranking influences market outcomes based on specific positions within the chart.
The event evaluates the ranking position of Noah Kahan's 'Stick Season' on the Billboard 200 chart for the week of August 15, 2026, across ten distinct markets. Each market corresponds to a specific ranking position from #1 to #10. If the album achieves any of these positions, the respective market resolves to 'Yes.' All markets clarify that references to Billboard are purely descriptive and do not imply endorsement or affiliation with Billboard or its associated brands. The structure allows participants to speculate on the album's chart performance within a defined range of top positions, offering granular insights into potential outcomes.
Currently, this market suggests a competitive outlook, with implied probabilities that differ from some analyst forecasts. While analysts may emphasize streaming projections or prior album performance, traders are pricing in a range of possible chart outcomes. The gap between these views can widen or narrow as new data emerges, such as early sales figures or media coverage.
This market resolves around Aug 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official Billboard 200 chart for the week of August 15, 2026 is published and verified against credible public sources. The final ranking will be based on the chart rules used by Billboard at that time.
Key signals include early sales or streaming numbers released by tracking firms, major media features or award buzz surrounding the album, and any last-minute promotional events by the artist. Unexpected developments—such as a surprise chart rule change or competing releases—could also shift trader sentiment and move prices in this market as the August date approaches.