TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: May 31, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Olivia Dean's "So Easy (To Fall In Love)" will appear on the Billboard Hot 100 chart during the week of June 6, 2026. On Kalshi, the leading outcome currently stands at 11.0%, with the second outcome also at 11.0%. Resolution will be determined by the official Billboard Hot 100 chart dated June 6, 2026. Watch for the song's chart debut and weekly performance trajectory leading up to the June 10, 2026 resolution date to gauge its momentum toward chart inclusion.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi represent real-money bets from traders and differ from traditional analyst forecasts, which rely on chart history, streaming data, and industry expertise. Markets aggregate dispersed information and financial incentives, often capturing sentiment faster than published analyst predictions. For this Olivia Dean track, comparing the market probability to music industry forecasters and chart analysts can reveal whether traders are more or less bullish than experts on the song's chart trajectory by the June 6, 2026 chart date.
The market resolves on Jun 10, 2026, after the Billboard Hot 100 chart dated June 6, 2026 is officially published. Resolution hinges on whether 'So Easy (To Fall In Love)' by Olivia Dean appears anywhere on that week's Hot 100 ranking. The outcome is determined by Billboard's official chart data, which accounts for streaming, radio airplay, and sales activity during the tracking period. Once the chart is released and verified, the market settles accordingly.
Several catalysts could shift market odds for this Olivia Dean track before resolution. Major streaming playlist placements on Spotify, Apple Music, or YouTube could accelerate momentum. Radio station adds and rotation increases would boost visibility and chart potential. Social media virality, TikTok trends, or celebrity endorsements can drive unexpected demand. Chart performance in the weeks leading up to June 6, 2026 provides direct signals about trajectory. Additionally, competing releases and overall Hot 100 congestion during that period will influence whether the song secures a chart position.