TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 23, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of Olivia Dean's song "So Easy (To Fall In Love)" on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the week of August 29, 2026. It focuses on determining the exact chart position the song achieves, reflecting its popularity and success during that period.
The event evaluates the chart position of Olivia Dean's song "So Easy (To Fall In Love)" on the Billboard Hot 100 for the week of August 29, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific ranking from #1 to #10. If the song achieves any of these positions, the respective market resolves to 'Yes.' The secondary rules clarify that Billboard has not endorsed these markets, and any references to Billboard or the Hot 100 are purely descriptive, indicating no formal affiliation or endorsement by Billboard. The outcome is determined solely by the song's actual ranking on the specified chart date.
This market resolves around Sep 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official Billboard Hot 100 chart for that week is published and verifiable from credible public reporting. The ranking will be determined by standard chart rules, including streaming, sales, and airplay metrics, and once the data is finalized, the market will close and payouts will be processed automatically based on the verified result.
Several signals could shift probabilities in this market before Sep 2, 2026. Key catalysts include major radio station playlists adding the track, viral moments on social media platforms, chart-boosting collaborations or features, and any last-minute performance boosts such as concert appearances or award show nominations. Additionally, unexpected competition from other new releases could affect Olivia Dean’s positioning, while any controversy or backlash might also influence trader sentiment and move prices on Kalshi.