TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Where will 'Shabang' by Drake rank on the Billboard Hot 100 chart dated Jun 27, 2026?
kalshi

Where will 'Shabang' by Drake rank on the Billboard Hot 100 chart dated Jun 27, 2026?

Volume:
$525

3

 - Kalshi

3 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 23, 2026

Closed: Jun 21, 11:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

3

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$349
N/A
N/A
$349
Settled
No
kalshi

2

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$133
N/A
N/A
$125
Settled
No
kalshi

10

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$25
N/A
N/A
$25
Settled
No
kalshi

1

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$18
N/A
N/A
$18
Settled
No
kalshi

4

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

5

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

6

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

7

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

8

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

9

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 10

Description

A specific song will chart on the Billboard Hot 100 for the week of June 27, 2026, placing somewhere in the top ten positions.

Kalshi

If Shabang by Drake is ranked #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the Week of Jun 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Shabang by Drake is ranked #2 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the Week of Jun 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Shabang by Drake is ranked #3 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the Week of Jun 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Shabang by Drake is ranked #4 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the Week of Jun 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Shabang by Drake is ranked #5 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the Week of Jun 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Shabang by Drake is ranked #6 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the Week of Jun 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Shabang by Drake is ranked #7 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the Week of Jun 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Shabang by Drake is ranked #8 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the Week of Jun 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Shabang by Drake is ranked #9 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the Week of Jun 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Shabang by Drake is ranked #10 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the Week of Jun 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Kalshi reflect real-money bets from traders and can differ meaningfully from traditional music industry analyst forecasts or chart predictors. While analysts may rely on streaming data, radio airplay, and historical chart patterns, prediction markets aggregate the collective expectations of participants with financial incentives to be accurate. Comparing the implied probability of top-ten or top-five placements from Kalshi against published analyst predictions reveals whether the market is pricing in more optimistic or pessimistic outcomes for Drake's chart performance.

On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, the 'Shabang' chart-position event is priced as a set of outcome contracts, each representing a specific chart rank or range. Traders buy and sell shares corresponding to their belief about where the song will land on the Billboard Hot 100 dated June 27, 2026. The price of each outcome contract reflects the market's implied probability, with higher prices indicating stronger consensus that a particular ranking is more likely. Volume and liquidity on Kalshi determine how easily traders can enter or exit positions.

The market resolves on Jul 1, 2026, after the Billboard Hot 100 chart dated June 27, 2026 is officially published. The outcome is determined by the final chart position assigned to Drake's 'Shabang' on that specific chart date. Once Billboard releases the official ranking, the prediction market will settle based on which outcome bracket or exact position the song occupies, paying out traders who held the correct outcome contract.

Several factors could shift market odds for 'Shabang's' chart position before June 27, 2026. Major catalysts include streaming and sales data releases, radio airplay trends, playlist placements on major platforms, and competing releases from other artists. Drake's promotional activity, music video releases, and any viral moments could boost momentum. Chart performance of lead singles or related projects may also influence expectations. Additionally, broader industry events such as format shifts or unexpected chart volatility could alter trader sentiment about the song's final ranking.