TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
1
- Kalshi
1 - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 1, 2026
Closed: Aug 30, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event tracks the performance of BRUNO MARS' song 'Risk It All' on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the week of September 5, 2026. It focuses on the song's ranking position relative to other tracks during that specific week, reflecting listener popularity and chart activity.
Kalshi
The event determines whether BRUNO MARS' song 'Risk It All' achieves a top-10 position on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the week dated September 5, 2026. Each primary rule specifies that if the song ranks between #1 and #10 inclusive on the specified chart week, the market resolves positively. The secondary rules clarify that Billboard has not endorsed these markets, and any references to Billboard or the Hot 100 are purely descriptive, with no implied affiliation or endorsement from Billboard. The outcome hinges solely on the song's chart placement within the defined range for the exact week in question.
Frequently asked questions
Compared to analyst forecasts, prediction market odds offer a dynamic, crowd-sourced view of expectations for the song's performance. While analysts may provide detailed commentary based on chart history and airplay data, this market lets traders bet on their own predictions, often reacting faster to new information like streaming numbers or media coverage.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, this market is priced through trader submissions that collectively set the probability of each possible ranking outcome. The current top outcome reflects the aggregate view of participants, with odds adjusting based on trading volume of $0 and any new data influencing expectations for the song’s chart position.
This market resolves around Sep 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official Billboard Hot 100 chart for the week dated Sep 5, 2026 is published and verified against credible public sources. The final ranking will set the market’s result based on where 'Risk It All' by BRUNO MARS appears on that chart.
