TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 6, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of BRUNO MARS' song 'Risk It All' on a key music chart, focusing on its position for a specific week in 2026. The outcome depends entirely on where the song lands on the chart that week, with various ranking positions determining the result.
The event evaluates the chart position of BRUNO MARS' song 'Risk It All' on the Billboard Hot 100 for the week dated September 12, 2026. If the song ranks between #1 and #10 inclusive on that chart for that specific week, the event resolves positively. Each possible ranking position from #1 through #10 has an associated rule that triggers a 'Yes' outcome if met. The rules clarify that Billboard has not endorsed these markets, and any references to Billboard or the Hot 100 are purely descriptive, with no implied affiliation or endorsement. The resolution hinges solely on the official Billboard Hot 100 chart publication for the specified week.
This market resolves around Sep 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official Billboard Hot 100 chart for the week of Sep 12, 2026 is published and verified against credible public sources. The final ranking will determine which contracts settle in profit or loss based on the precise chart position that week.
Key signals that could shift this market include major radio airplay spikes, viral social media moments, chart performance of competing releases, live performance exposure, and any last-minute collaborations or features added to the song. Streaming numbers, press coverage, and audience engagement metrics leading up to Sep 16, 2026 often drive significant price adjustments as traders reassess probabilities.