TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 23, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of BRUNO MARS' song 'Risk It All' on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the week of August 29, 2026. It focuses on the song's ranking position, reflecting its popularity and chart success during that specific period.
The event determines whether BRUNO MARS' song 'Risk It All' achieves a top-10 position on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the week of August 29, 2026. Each primary rule specifies that if the song ranks between #1 and #10 inclusive on the specified chart date, the market resolves positively. The secondary rules clarify that Billboard has not endorsed these markets, and any references to Billboard or the Hot 100 are purely descriptive, indicating no formal affiliation or endorsement by Billboard. The outcome hinges solely on the song's chart placement, with success defined as securing any rank within the top ten positions for that week.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders set the odds based on their expectations for 'Risk It All' by BRUNO MARS on the Aug 29, 2026 Billboard Hot 100 chart. The current pricing reflects the collective view of market participants, factoring in recent performance data, upcoming release schedules, and promotional campaigns. Volume of $0 shows the level of interest and liquidity in the market.
This market resolves around Sep 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the Billboard Hot 100 chart for Aug 29, 2026 is officially published and verifiable from credible public reporting. The final ranking will be determined by the chart's official methodology, which includes sales, streaming, and airplay data compiled during the tracking week.
Several signals could shift this market before resolution. Major promotional events, such as music video releases, chart-boosting collaborations, or high-profile performances, may influence trader sentiment. Additionally, unexpected chart competition from new releases or viral trends could adjust expectations. Weekly tracking updates showing streaming numbers or radio airplay will also be key drivers for market movement.