TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 23, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of Ariana Grande's song "petal" on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the week of August 29, 2026. It evaluates where the song ranks among the most popular tracks in the United States during that specific week.
The event determines the ranking position of Ariana Grande's song "petal" on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the week of August 29, 2026. If the song ranks between positions #1 and #10 inclusive on the chart for that week, the event resolves positively. Each primary rule corresponds to a specific ranking position from #1 to #10, with the outcome set to 'Yes' if the song achieves that exact position. The secondary rules clarify that Billboard has not endorsed these markets and that any references to Billboard or the Hot 100 are purely descriptive, indicating no formal affiliation or endorsement by Billboard. The resolution hinges solely on the official Billboard Hot 100 chart publication for the specified week.
This market resolves around Sep 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official Billboard Hot 100 chart is published and verified against credible public sources. The final ranking will set the market's result based on where the song places that week.
Several signals could shift odds in this market before Sep 2, 2026. Key catalysts include major streaming platform updates, such as Spotify or Apple Music chart placements, influencer endorsements or social media buzz around the song, controversies involving the artist that affect public perception, and competitive releases from other artists that might split listener attention. Any data point that changes expectations for the song's radio play, digital sales, or streaming performance could prompt traders to adjust their positions.