TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,590,312

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,439,516,703

404,175

Markets across

30,277

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,685

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
Entertainment
Where will 'petal' by Ariana Grande rank on the Billboard Hot 100 chart dated Aug 29, 2026?
kalshi

Where will 'petal' by Ariana Grande rank on the Billboard Hot 100 chart dated Aug 29, 2026?

Volume:
$0

1

 - Kalshi

1 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 25, 2026

Closed: Aug 23, 11:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

1

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

2

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

3

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

4

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

5

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

6

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

7

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

8

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

9

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

10

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 10

Description

This event tracks the performance of Ariana Grande's song "petal" on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the week of August 29, 2026. It evaluates where the song ranks among the most popular tracks in the United States during that specific week.

Kalshi

The event determines the ranking position of Ariana Grande's song "petal" on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the week of August 29, 2026. If the song ranks between positions #1 and #10 inclusive on the chart for that week, the event resolves positively. Each primary rule corresponds to a specific ranking position from #1 to #10, with the outcome set to 'Yes' if the song achieves that exact position. The secondary rules clarify that Billboard has not endorsed these markets and that any references to Billboard or the Hot 100 are purely descriptive, indicating no formal affiliation or endorsement by Billboard. The resolution hinges solely on the official Billboard Hot 100 chart publication for the specified week.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the real-time odds and price movements for the Billboard Hot 100 ranking market, showing how traders value different possible chart positions for the song. You can see current top-outcome probabilities, historical price charts, and 24-hour volume of $0 to gauge market activity. The dashboard updates continuously to reflect trader sentiment and any new information affecting expectations for the song's performance on the chart dated Aug 29, 2026.

This market resolves around Sep 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official Billboard Hot 100 chart is published and verified against credible public sources. The final ranking will set the market's result based on where the song places that week.

Several signals could shift odds in this market before Sep 2, 2026. Key catalysts include major streaming platform updates, such as Spotify or Apple Music chart placements, influencer endorsements or social media buzz around the song, controversies involving the artist that affect public perception, and competitive releases from other artists that might split listener attention. Any data point that changes expectations for the song's radio play, digital sales, or streaming performance could prompt traders to adjust their positions.