TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
1
- Kalshi
1 - Kalshi
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Vol.
·
Resolved Aug 11, 2026
Closed: Aug 9, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event tracks the performance of Michael Jackson's compilation album 'Number Ones' on the Billboard 200 chart for the week of August 15, 2026. The outcome depends on the album's specific chart position that week, reflecting its popularity and sales or streams during that period.
Kalshi
The event determines whether Michael Jackson's 'Number Ones' compilation album ranks within the top ten positions on the Billboard 200 chart for the week of August 15, 2026. Each numbered rule corresponds to a specific ranking from #1 to #10, with the market resolving to 'Yes' if the album occupies any of these positions. The secondary rules clarify that Billboard has not endorsed these markets, and any references to Billboard or its associated marks are purely descriptive, indicating no formal affiliation or endorsement by Billboard. The focus is solely on the chart position of the album as reported by Billboard for the specified week.
Frequently asked questions
Currently, prediction market odds imply a specific ranking probability, which can differ from analyst forecasts that appear in media reports or industry publications. Analysts may weigh factors like album anniversary campaigns, streaming platform promotions, or chart rule changes. Comparing this market to those forecasts helps spot potential mispricing or consensus shifts before Aug 19, 2026.
On Kalshi, this market uses trader submissions to set its current odds. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The probability reflects collective trader expectations about Michael Jackson’s album performance. Volume of $0 shows trader interest, while recent 24-hour volume of $0 indicates short-term activity shifts. Traders adjust positions based on new data, influencing the price dynamics leading to Aug 19, 2026.
This market resolves around Aug 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the Billboard 200 chart dated Aug 15, 2026, is officially published and verifiable from credible public reporting. The ranking position of 'Number Ones' on that specific chart date sets the result.
Several signals could impact this market before Aug 19, 2026. Media coverage highlighting the album’s release, streaming platform metrics, and chart analyst predictions may shift trader sentiment. Any surprise announcements about promotions or award nominations could also affect expectations. Consumer behavior trends and social media buzz in the weeks ahead will likely drive volume and price changes on Kalshi as the August 15 chart date approaches.
