TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
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Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 8, 2026
Closed: Sep 6, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event tracks the commercial performance of Phoebe Bridgers' album 'Lost Weekend' by measuring its position on a key music industry chart at a specific future date. The outcome depends entirely on where the album ranks in terms of sales and streams during that week.
Kalshi
The event evaluates multiple possible chart positions for the album 'Lost Weekend' by Phoebe Bridgers on the Billboard 200 for the week dated September 12, 2026. If the album ranks between #1 and #10 inclusive on that chart, the event resolves positively. Each position from first through tenth has an associated rule confirming a positive resolution when met. The secondary rules clarify that Billboard has not endorsed these markets and that any references to Billboard or its charts are purely descriptive, with no implied affiliation or endorsement from Billboard.
Frequently asked questions
Currently, prediction market odds reflect trader expectations about where "Lost Weekend" might land on the Billboard 200, but these can differ from analyst forecasts. Music industry analysts may weigh factors like pre-release buzz, streaming projections, and past performance of the artist. Comparing this market to those forecasts helps identify potential mispricings or consensus gaps before the chart week ends.
This market resolves around Sep 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once official Billboard 200 chart data for the week dated September 12, 2026, is published and verifiable from credible public reporting. The final ranking will settle all positions based on the chart’s official rankings that week.
Key signals that could shift this market include early streaming performance, social media buzz around the album, chart-tracking firm estimates released ahead of the official chart, and any last-minute promotional pushes by the artist or label. Any surprise announcements — like deluxe editions or featured collaborations — may also impact trader sentiment and shift odds before Sep 16, 2026.
