TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 21, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
A specific song will chart on the Billboard Hot 100 for the week of June 27, 2026, placing somewhere in the top ten positions.
If Janice STFU by Drake is ranked #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the Week of Jun 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Janice STFU by Drake is ranked #2 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the Week of Jun 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Janice STFU by Drake is ranked #3 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the Week of Jun 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Janice STFU by Drake is ranked #4 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the Week of Jun 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Janice STFU by Drake is ranked #5 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the Week of Jun 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Janice STFU by Drake is ranked #6 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the Week of Jun 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Janice STFU by Drake is ranked #7 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the Week of Jun 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Janice STFU by Drake is ranked #8 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the Week of Jun 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Janice STFU by Drake is ranked #9 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the Week of Jun 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Janice STFU by Drake is ranked #10 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the Week of Jun 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
On Kalshi, this event is priced through binary or range-based outcome contracts tied to the official Billboard Hot 100 ranking for the chart dated June 27, 2026. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy and sell shares representing different chart positions, with prices reflecting the collective belief about where 'Janice STFU' will land. As the chart date approaches and streaming, sales, and radio data accumulate, prices adjust to reflect new information. The final settlement occurs once Billboard publishes the official chart, determining which outcome contract resolves to full value.
The market resolves on Jul 1, 2026, following the publication of the official Billboard Hot 100 chart dated June 27, 2026. The outcome is determined by the exact chart position assigned to 'Janice STFU' by Drake on that date. Billboard's ranking methodology incorporates sales, streaming, and radio airplay data collected during the tracking week. Once the chart is published and verified, the prediction market outcome is settled according to the song's final position, and traders' positions are resolved accordingly.
Key catalysts include Drake's promotional activity, playlist placements on major streaming platforms like Spotify and Apple Music, radio station adds and rotation intensity, competing releases from other major artists, and social media virality. Chart performance of the song in international markets or on Billboard's genre-specific charts may signal momentum. Unexpected controversies, streaming manipulation allegations, or shifts in fan engagement could also impact odds. Real-time streaming and sales data leaks, industry commentary, and Drake's touring schedule or other releases will influence trader expectations as the June 27, 2026 chart date approaches.