TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
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OPEN INTEREST:
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400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 30, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of Morgan Wallen's song 'I'm The Problem' on the Billboard 200 chart for the week of September 5, 2026. It evaluates where the song ranks among the top positions on the chart, reflecting its popularity and commercial success during that period.
The event determines the ranking of Morgan Wallen's song 'I'm The Problem' on the Billboard 200 chart for the week of September 5, 2026. If the song ranks between #1 and #10 on the chart for that week, the market resolves to Yes. Each primary rule specifies a distinct ranking position from #1 to #10, and the outcome depends on the song's exact position. The secondary rules clarify that Billboard has not endorsed these markets, and any references to Billboard or its charts are purely descriptive, with no implied affiliation or endorsement.
While analysts may issue their projections for chart performance, this market reflects the real-time sentiment of traders who buy and sell contracts based on their expectations. The current odds can diverge from traditional forecasts, especially as new data emerges — such as streaming numbers or media coverage — that influences trader behavior in the days before Sep 9, 2026.
This market resolves around Sep 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official Billboard 200 chart for the week of Sep 5, 2026 is published and verified against credible public sources. The ranking listed on that chart determines whether contracts for each position are settled as winning or losing.
Key signals include early streaming numbers, chart projections from industry publications, social media buzz around the album, and any last-minute promotional pushes from the artist or label. As these signals develop in the weeks ahead, traders may adjust their positions, shifting the odds on this market closer to Sep 9, 2026.