TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 6, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the chart performance of Morgan Wallen's song "I'm The Problem" on the Billboard 200 for the week of September 12, 2026. It captures how the song's popularity and sales or streams translate into its ranking among the top albums and song collections in the United States during that specific week.
If I'm The Problem by Morgan Wallen is ranked #1 on the Billboard 200 chart for the Week of Sep 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If I'm The Problem by Morgan Wallen is ranked #2 on the Billboard 200 chart for the Week of Sep 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If I'm The Problem by Morgan Wallen is ranked #3 on the Billboard 200 chart for the Week of Sep 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If I'm The Problem by Morgan Wallen is ranked #4 on the Billboard 200 chart for the Week of Sep 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If I'm The Problem by Morgan Wallen is ranked #5 on the Billboard 200 chart for the Week of Sep 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If I'm The Problem by Morgan Wallen is ranked #6 on the Billboard 200 chart for the Week of Sep 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If I'm The Problem by Morgan Wallen is ranked #7 on the Billboard 200 chart for the Week of Sep 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If I'm The Problem by Morgan Wallen is ranked #8 on the Billboard 200 chart for the Week of Sep 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If I'm The Problem by Morgan Wallen is ranked #9 on the Billboard 200 chart for the Week of Sep 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If I'm The Problem by Morgan Wallen is ranked #10 on the Billboard 200 chart for the Week of Sep 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders manually set prices through buying and selling contracts for each possible chart position. The current odds reflect the balance of supply and demand, with volume of $43 showing overall interest. As new sales data, streaming numbers, or media coverage emerge, participants adjust their positions, which moves the implied probabilities.
This market resolves around Sep 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official Billboard 200 chart for the week of September 12, 2026, is published and verified against credible public sources. The ranking will be determined by a blend of sales, streaming, and other chart-eligible activity during the tracking week, as reported by Billboard.